Mexico’s 2027 legislative contest features a dominant Morena-led coalition expected to secure first place, leaving the battle for second among fragmented opposition parties. PRI, PAN, and MC register nearly identical trader-implied probabilities because no single force has consolidated the anti-incumbent vote following the 2024 collapse of the PAN-PRI-PRD alliance and the 2025 judicial elections that further strengthened Morena’s institutional position. Recent polling averages continue to show these three parties clustered well behind the governing bloc but ahead of PVEM and PT, with limited movement since early 2026. Scheduled candidate nominations and any renewed opposition coordination talks in the coming months could widen or narrow these margins before the June 2027 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PT 44%
PRI 43%
MC 41%
PVEM 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 juin 2027
PAN
39%
PRI
43%
PT
44%
PVEM
37%
MC
41%
Morena
19%
PT 44%
PRI 43%
MC 41%
PVEM 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 juin 2027
PAN
$96 Vol.
39%
PRI
$13 Vol.
43%
PT
$13 Vol.
44%
PVEM
$1 Vol.
37%
MC
$13 Vol.
41%
Morena
$491 Vol.
19%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Mexico’s 2027 legislative contest features a dominant Morena-led coalition expected to secure first place, leaving the battle for second among fragmented opposition parties. PRI, PAN, and MC register nearly identical trader-implied probabilities because no single force has consolidated the anti-incumbent vote following the 2024 collapse of the PAN-PRI-PRD alliance and the 2025 judicial elections that further strengthened Morena’s institutional position. Recent polling averages continue to show these three parties clustered well behind the governing bloc but ahead of PVEM and PT, with limited movement since early 2026. Scheduled candidate nominations and any renewed opposition coordination talks in the coming months could widen or narrow these margins before the June 2027 vote.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volume
$628Date de fin
6 juin 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Mexico’s 2027 legislative contest features a dominant Morena-led coalition expected to secure first place, leaving the battle for second among fragmented opposition parties. PRI, PAN, and MC register nearly identical trader-implied probabilities because no single force has consolidated the anti-incumbent vote following the 2024 collapse of the PAN-PRI-PRD alliance and the 2025 judicial elections that further strengthened Morena’s institutional position. Recent polling averages continue to show these three parties clustered well behind the governing bloc but ahead of PVEM and PT, with limited movement since early 2026. Scheduled candidate nominations and any renewed opposition coordination talks in the coming months could widen or narrow these margins before the June 2027 vote.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$628Date de fin
6 juin 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico’s 2027 legislative contest features a dominant Morena-led coalition expected to secure first place, leaving the battle for second among fragmented opposition parties. PRI, PAN, and MC register nearly identical trader-implied probabilities because no single force has consolidated the anti-incumbent vote following the 2024 collapse of the PAN-PRI-PRD alliance and the 2025 judicial elections that further strengthened Morena’s institutional position. Recent polling averages continue to show these three parties clustered well behind the governing bloc but ahead of PVEM and PT, with limited movement since early 2026. Scheduled candidate nominations and any renewed opposition coordination talks in the coming months could widen or narrow these margins before the June 2027 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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