New York’s 13th congressional district carries a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, driven by its D+32 partisan voter index and repeated double-digit margins in prior cycles. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds superior fundraising, labor and party endorsements, and name recognition heading into the June 23 Democratic primary against challengers including Darializa Avila Chevalier. No viable Republican candidate has surfaced for the November general election, anchoring trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. A primary upset or significant scandal surrounding the eventual nominee remain the only developments that could realistically reopen competition in this Upper Manhattan and Bronx seat.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection de la maison NY-13
Vainqueur de l'élection de la maison NY-13
$29,736 Vol.
$29,736 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
$29,736 Vol.
$29,736 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$18,286 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$11,450 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district carries a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, driven by its D+32 partisan voter index and repeated double-digit margins in prior cycles. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds superior fundraising, labor and party endorsements, and name recognition heading into the June 23 Democratic primary against challengers including Darializa Avila Chevalier. No viable Republican candidate has surfaced for the November general election, anchoring trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. A primary upset or significant scandal surrounding the eventual nominee remain the only developments that could realistically reopen competition in this Upper Manhattan and Bronx seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$29,736Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district carries a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, driven by its D+32 partisan voter index and repeated double-digit margins in prior cycles. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds superior fundraising, labor and party endorsements, and name recognition heading into the June 23 Democratic primary against challengers including Darializa Avila Chevalier. No viable Republican candidate has surfaced for the November general election, anchoring trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. A primary upset or significant scandal surrounding the eventual nominee remain the only developments that could realistically reopen competition in this Upper Manhattan and Bronx seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,736Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district carries a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, driven by its D+32 partisan voter index and repeated double-digit margins in prior cycles. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds superior fundraising, labor and party endorsements, and name recognition heading into the June 23 Democratic primary against challengers including Darializa Avila Chevalier. No viable Republican candidate has surfaced for the November general election, anchoring trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. A primary upset or significant scandal surrounding the eventual nominee remain the only developments that could realistically reopen competition in this Upper Manhattan and Bronx seat.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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