Skip to main content
icon for PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire
Élections·Primaire De Pennsylvanie

PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire

icon for PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire
Élections·Primaire De Pennsylvanie

PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire

Bob Brooks 93%

Lamont McClure 5.5%

Ryan Crosswell 4.0%

Carol Obando-Derstine 1.2%

Polymarket

$29,047 Vol.

Bob Brooks 93%

Lamont McClure 5.5%

Ryan Crosswell 4.0%

Carol Obando-Derstine 1.2%

Polymarket

$29,047 Vol.

Bob Brooks

$4,673 Vol.

93%

Lamont McClure

$6,100 Vol.

5%

Ryan Crosswell

$5,034 Vol.

4%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$5,746 Vol.

1%

Aiden Gonzalez

$3,064 Vol.

<1%

Lewis Shupe

$4,430 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks holds overwhelming trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary due to a rapid consolidation of institutional and labor support ahead of the May 19 vote. High-profile endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro, Senator Bernie Sanders, and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s Red-to-Blue program, combined with his role as president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, have strengthened his working-class profile in this Lehigh Valley battleground. Recent polling shows him leading challengers Ryan Crosswell, Lamont McClure, and Carol Obando-Derstine by double digits among likely Democratic voters, with more than a third still undecided. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected late scandal, a sharp turnout surge for any rival, or shifts in absentee ballot patterns in the final days before the closed primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,047
Date de fin
19 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks holds overwhelming trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary due to a rapid consolidation of institutional and labor support ahead of the May 19 vote. High-profile endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro, Senator Bernie Sanders, and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s Red-to-Blue program, combined with his role as president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association, have strengthened his working-class profile in this Lehigh Valley battleground. Recent polling shows him leading challengers Ryan Crosswell, Lamont McClure, and Carol Obando-Derstine by double digits among likely Democratic voters, with more than a third still undecided. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected late scandal, a sharp turnout surge for any rival, or shifts in absentee ballot patterns in the final days before the closed primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,047
Date de fin
19 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Bob Brooks » à 93%, suivi de « Lamont McClure » à 5%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 93¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » a généré $29K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 20, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » est « Bob Brooks » à 93%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Lamont McClure » à 5%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.