Thailand and Cambodia maintain a fragile ceasefire along their disputed 817-kilometer border following December 2025 clashes that included artillery exchanges and Thai airstrikes. Leaders from both nations met on May 7, 2026, during ASEAN sidelines to advance trust-building measures and de-escalation protocols, including joint information centers and troop position surveys. Recent unilateral termination of a 25-year joint offshore energy agreement by Thailand has added strain, while Cambodian officials continue to allege post-ceasefire territorial occupation and advocate bilateral negotiations over international court involvement. Upcoming technical committee sessions and potential further high-level talks remain key near-term catalysts for traders assessing escalation risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa Thaïlande frappe le Cambodge par... ?
La Thaïlande frappe le Cambodge par... ?
$70,940 Vol.
30 juin 2026
30 juin 2026
4%
$70,940 Vol.
30 juin 2026
$26,527 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.Thailand and Cambodia maintain a fragile ceasefire along their disputed 817-kilometer border following December 2025 clashes that included artillery exchanges and Thai airstrikes. Leaders from both nations met on May 7, 2026, during ASEAN sidelines to advance trust-building measures and de-escalation protocols, including joint information centers and troop position surveys. Recent unilateral termination of a 25-year joint offshore energy agreement by Thailand has added strain, while Cambodian officials continue to allege post-ceasefire territorial occupation and advocate bilateral negotiations over international court involvement. Upcoming technical committee sessions and potential further high-level talks remain key near-term catalysts for traders assessing escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
Marché ouvert : Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$70,940Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.Thailand and Cambodia maintain a fragile ceasefire along their disputed 817-kilometer border following December 2025 clashes that included artillery exchanges and Thai airstrikes. Leaders from both nations met on May 7, 2026, during ASEAN sidelines to advance trust-building measures and de-escalation protocols, including joint information centers and troop position surveys. Recent unilateral termination of a 25-year joint offshore energy agreement by Thailand has added strain, while Cambodian officials continue to allege post-ceasefire territorial occupation and advocate bilateral negotiations over international court involvement. Upcoming technical committee sessions and potential further high-level talks remain key near-term catalysts for traders assessing escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
Volume
$70,940Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Thailand and Cambodia maintain a fragile ceasefire along their disputed 817-kilometer border following December 2025 clashes that included artillery exchanges and Thai airstrikes. Leaders from both nations met on May 7, 2026, during ASEAN sidelines to advance trust-building measures and de-escalation protocols, including joint information centers and troop position surveys. Recent unilateral termination of a 25-year joint offshore energy agreement by Thailand has added strain, while Cambodian officials continue to allege post-ceasefire territorial occupation and advocate bilateral negotiations over international court involvement. Upcoming technical committee sessions and potential further high-level talks remain key near-term catalysts for traders assessing escalation risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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