The Trump administration’s renewed maximum-pressure campaign shapes prospects for any U.S.-Cuba economic agreement. On May 1, 2026, President Trump issued Executive Order 14404, creating a new sanctions program under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act that targets Cuban regime officials, military-linked entities such as GAESA, and foreign companies or banks facilitating economic activity in Cuba. This followed January 2026 measures restricting oil supplies and built on the revocation of Cuba’s prior State Sponsors of Terrorism designation. In mid-May the State Department renewed a conditional $100 million humanitarian aid offer tied to reforms, while senior U.S. and Cuban intelligence officials held direct talks in Havana focused on economic and security issues. Cuba faces severe energy shortages and has signaled openness to the aid but resistance to broader concessions. These steps keep bilateral engagement limited to conditional diplomacy rather than comprehensive economic normalization.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAccord économique entre les États-Unis et Cuba par... ?
Accord économique entre les États-Unis et Cuba par... ?
$239,402 Vol.
30 juin 2026
30 juin
34%
$239,402 Vol.
30 juin
$103,404 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s renewed maximum-pressure campaign shapes prospects for any U.S.-Cuba economic agreement. On May 1, 2026, President Trump issued Executive Order 14404, creating a new sanctions program under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act that targets Cuban regime officials, military-linked entities such as GAESA, and foreign companies or banks facilitating economic activity in Cuba. This followed January 2026 measures restricting oil supplies and built on the revocation of Cuba’s prior State Sponsors of Terrorism designation. In mid-May the State Department renewed a conditional $100 million humanitarian aid offer tied to reforms, while senior U.S. and Cuban intelligence officials held direct talks in Havana focused on economic and security issues. Cuba faces severe energy shortages and has signaled openness to the aid but resistance to broader concessions. These steps keep bilateral engagement limited to conditional diplomacy rather than comprehensive economic normalization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Volume
$239,402Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s renewed maximum-pressure campaign shapes prospects for any U.S.-Cuba economic agreement. On May 1, 2026, President Trump issued Executive Order 14404, creating a new sanctions program under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act that targets Cuban regime officials, military-linked entities such as GAESA, and foreign companies or banks facilitating economic activity in Cuba. This followed January 2026 measures restricting oil supplies and built on the revocation of Cuba’s prior State Sponsors of Terrorism designation. In mid-May the State Department renewed a conditional $100 million humanitarian aid offer tied to reforms, while senior U.S. and Cuban intelligence officials held direct talks in Havana focused on economic and security issues. Cuba faces severe energy shortages and has signaled openness to the aid but resistance to broader concessions. These steps keep bilateral engagement limited to conditional diplomacy rather than comprehensive economic normalization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$239,402Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s renewed maximum-pressure campaign shapes prospects for any U.S.-Cuba economic agreement. On May 1, 2026, President Trump issued Executive Order 14404, creating a new sanctions program under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act that targets Cuban regime officials, military-linked entities such as GAESA, and foreign companies or banks facilitating economic activity in Cuba. This followed January 2026 measures restricting oil supplies and built on the revocation of Cuba’s prior State Sponsors of Terrorism designation. In mid-May the State Department renewed a conditional $100 million humanitarian aid offer tied to reforms, while senior U.S. and Cuban intelligence officials held direct talks in Havana focused on economic and security issues. Cuba faces severe energy shortages and has signaled openness to the aid but resistance to broader concessions. These steps keep bilateral engagement limited to conditional diplomacy rather than comprehensive economic normalization.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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