US-Cuba relations remain defined by the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure sanctions regime, including multiple 2026 executive orders and designations targeting GAESA-linked entities, the tourism ministry, energy sectors, and regime elites. A fuel blockade initiated in January has deepened Cuba’s economic and energy crisis, prompting limited direct talks confirmed by Havana in March alongside prisoner releases, yet producing no sanctions relief or normalized trade. Subsequent US designations through July 2026, combined with secondary-sanctions risks for third-country suppliers, have further constrained any near-term pathway to an economic agreement. Cuba’s announced domestic reforms have met continued US designations rather than reciprocal easing, while Panama’s June mediation offer has not advanced. Traders therefore assess prospects for a deal as constrained by entrenched policy, ongoing enforcement actions, and Cuba’s refusal to accept political preconditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAccord économique entre les États-Unis et Cuba par... ?
Accord économique entre les États-Unis et Cuba par... ?
$432,060 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
December 31
26%
$432,060 Vol.
December 31
$20,188 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US-Cuba relations remain defined by the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure sanctions regime, including multiple 2026 executive orders and designations targeting GAESA-linked entities, the tourism ministry, energy sectors, and regime elites. A fuel blockade initiated in January has deepened Cuba’s economic and energy crisis, prompting limited direct talks confirmed by Havana in March alongside prisoner releases, yet producing no sanctions relief or normalized trade. Subsequent US designations through July 2026, combined with secondary-sanctions risks for third-country suppliers, have further constrained any near-term pathway to an economic agreement. Cuba’s announced domestic reforms have met continued US designations rather than reciprocal easing, while Panama’s June mediation offer has not advanced. Traders therefore assess prospects for a deal as constrained by entrenched policy, ongoing enforcement actions, and Cuba’s refusal to accept political preconditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Volume
$432,060Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US-Cuba relations remain defined by the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure sanctions regime, including multiple 2026 executive orders and designations targeting GAESA-linked entities, the tourism ministry, energy sectors, and regime elites. A fuel blockade initiated in January has deepened Cuba’s economic and energy crisis, prompting limited direct talks confirmed by Havana in March alongside prisoner releases, yet producing no sanctions relief or normalized trade. Subsequent US designations through July 2026, combined with secondary-sanctions risks for third-country suppliers, have further constrained any near-term pathway to an economic agreement. Cuba’s announced domestic reforms have met continued US designations rather than reciprocal easing, while Panama’s June mediation offer has not advanced. Traders therefore assess prospects for a deal as constrained by entrenched policy, ongoing enforcement actions, and Cuba’s refusal to accept political preconditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$432,060Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Cuba relations remain defined by the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure sanctions regime, including multiple 2026 executive orders and designations targeting GAESA-linked entities, the tourism ministry, energy sectors, and regime elites. A fuel blockade initiated in January has deepened Cuba’s economic and energy crisis, prompting limited direct talks confirmed by Havana in March alongside prisoner releases, yet producing no sanctions relief or normalized trade. Subsequent US designations through July 2026, combined with secondary-sanctions risks for third-country suppliers, have further constrained any near-term pathway to an economic agreement. Cuba’s announced domestic reforms have met continued US designations rather than reciprocal easing, while Panama’s June mediation offer has not advanced. Traders therefore assess prospects for a deal as constrained by entrenched policy, ongoing enforcement actions, and Cuba’s refusal to accept political preconditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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