Andrea Martella's strong trader consensus at 79% implied probability in the Venice mayoral election reflects consistent leads in recent Tecnè polls, including a May 7 survey placing him near 50% among decided voters and widening his edge over Simone Venturini, while opponent-commissioned surveys like Demetra and Bonafè show tighter races or slight Venturini advantages that traders appear to discount as biased. With the May 24-25 vote approaching, Martella benefits from centrosinistra coalition unity challenging the centrodestra's continuity candidate Venturini after 11 years under outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro, amid heated debates on security—highlighted by Martella's hiring of Franco Gabrielli—and union engagements on Porto Marghera issues. A first-round majority would avoid a runoff, but high undecideds (up to 46%) and recent controversies like a provocative video could shift dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Andrea Martella 79%
Simone Venturini 21%
Michele Boldrin <1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$99,504 Vol.
$99,504 Vol.
Andrea Martella
79%
Simone Venturini
21%
Michele Boldrin
<1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Andrea Martella 79%
Simone Venturini 21%
Michele Boldrin <1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$99,504 Vol.
$99,504 Vol.
Andrea Martella
79%
Simone Venturini
21%
Michele Boldrin
<1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Marché ouvert : Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andrea Martella's strong trader consensus at 79% implied probability in the Venice mayoral election reflects consistent leads in recent Tecnè polls, including a May 7 survey placing him near 50% among decided voters and widening his edge over Simone Venturini, while opponent-commissioned surveys like Demetra and Bonafè show tighter races or slight Venturini advantages that traders appear to discount as biased. With the May 24-25 vote approaching, Martella benefits from centrosinistra coalition unity challenging the centrodestra's continuity candidate Venturini after 11 years under outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro, amid heated debates on security—highlighted by Martella's hiring of Franco Gabrielli—and union engagements on Porto Marghera issues. A first-round majority would avoid a runoff, but high undecideds (up to 46%) and recent controversies like a provocative video could shift dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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