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Politique·Moyen-Orient

Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ?

icon for Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ?
Politique·Moyen-Orient

Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ?

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 39%

Gadi Eizenkot 11.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.5%

Polymarket

$9,467,882 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 39%

Gadi Eizenkot 11.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.5%

Polymarket

$9,467,882 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$751,997 Vol.

40%

Naftali Bennett

$1,408,571 Vol.

39%

Gadi Eizenkot

$749,605 Vol.

11%

Avigdor Lieberman

$658,641 Vol.

3%

Yair Lapid

$514,043 Vol.

1%

Israël Katz

$163,781 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$339,842 Vol.

<1%

Ayelet Shaked

$547,631 Vol.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$340,462 Vol.

<1%

Benny Gantz

$349,077 Vol.

<1%

Yossi Cohen

$614,863 Vol.

<1%

Yariv Levin

$467,098 Vol.

<1%

Yair Golan

$485,989 Vol.

<1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$726,263 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$520,377 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$541,347 Vol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$288,316 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Israel's multi-party system have kept the race for the next prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election closely contested, with traders assigning Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett nearly identical probabilities. The April formation of the Bennett-led Together alliance with Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid, along with outreach to Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party, has consolidated opposition support and produced polling leads for the bloc over Likud in projected seats. Netanyahu's position reflects enduring backing from religious and right-wing parties plus his incumbency advantages, while Bennett benefits from perceptions of fresh leadership appeal and coalition-building potential. Eizenkot's 11 percent share underscores his role as a possible swing factor. Shifts in upcoming polls, security developments, or coalition negotiations could widen the gap between the frontrunners before voters decide.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,467,882
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Israel's multi-party system have kept the race for the next prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election closely contested, with traders assigning Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett nearly identical probabilities. The April formation of the Bennett-led Together alliance with Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid, along with outreach to Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party, has consolidated opposition support and produced polling leads for the bloc over Likud in projected seats. Netanyahu's position reflects enduring backing from religious and right-wing parties plus his incumbency advantages, while Bennett benefits from perceptions of fresh leadership appeal and coalition-building potential. Eizenkot's 11 percent share underscores his role as a possible swing factor. Shifts in upcoming polls, security developments, or coalition negotiations could widen the gap between the frontrunners before voters decide.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,467,882
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Benjamin Netanyahu » à 40%, suivi de « Naftali Bennett » à 39%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 40¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? » a généré $9.5 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 15, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? » est « Benjamin Netanyahu » à 40%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Naftali Bennett » à 39%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.