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Politique·Moyen-Orient

Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ?

icon for Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ?
Politique·Moyen-Orient

Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ?

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 40%

Gadi Eizenkot 12.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.9%

Polymarket

$9,185,448 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 40%

Gadi Eizenkot 12.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.9%

Polymarket

$9,185,448 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$751,328 Vol.

40%

Naftali Bennett

$1,243,731 Vol.

40%

Gadi Eizenkot

$745,261 Vol.

12%

Avigdor Lieberman

$657,163 Vol.

4%

Yair Lapid

$507,545 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$333,649 Vol.

1%

Israël Katz

$157,508 Vol.

1%

Ayelet Shaked

$525,244 Vol.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$325,167 Vol.

<1%

Benny Gantz

$349,037 Vol.

<1%

Yossi Cohen

$607,163 Vol.

<1%

Yariv Levin

$467,035 Vol.

<1%

Yair Golan

$479,860 Vol.

<1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$711,390 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$511,434 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$530,981 Vol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$281,953 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities for Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett reflect Israel's fragmented Knesset system, where forming a 61-seat majority coalition determines the prime minister after elections due by October 2026. Recent polls following the April 2026 launch of the Together alliance between Bennett and Yair Lapid show this centrist-right bloc edging or tying Likud, driven by voter concerns over security management amid ongoing regional conflicts and Netanyahu's legal proceedings. Other contenders like Gadi Eizenkot remain secondary, as outcomes depend on post-election bargaining among smaller parties rather than outright majorities. Trader positioning accounts for historical patterns of coalition shifts and the potential for late developments to alter bloc alignments before voting.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,185,448
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities for Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett reflect Israel's fragmented Knesset system, where forming a 61-seat majority coalition determines the prime minister after elections due by October 2026. Recent polls following the April 2026 launch of the Together alliance between Bennett and Yair Lapid show this centrist-right bloc edging or tying Likud, driven by voter concerns over security management amid ongoing regional conflicts and Netanyahu's legal proceedings. Other contenders like Gadi Eizenkot remain secondary, as outcomes depend on post-election bargaining among smaller parties rather than outright majorities. Trader positioning accounts for historical patterns of coalition shifts and the potential for late developments to alter bloc alignments before voting.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,185,448
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Benjamin Netanyahu » à 40%, suivi de « Naftali Bennett » à 40%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 40¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? » a généré $9.2 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 15, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? » est « Benjamin Netanyahu » à 40%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Naftali Bennett » à 40%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.