Ongoing US-Iran negotiations amid the Strait of Hormuz crisis have sustained sharply reduced maritime traffic through this critical energy chokepoint, with daily commercial transits averaging in the single digits to low teens in recent weeks due to Iranian restrictions and routing uncertainty. A fragile April ceasefire has permitted limited passages, primarily eastbound vessels under specific clearances, while naval escorts and mine-clearance operations have yielded only modest increases in throughput. Trader sentiment remains balanced across the 20-39 and 40-59 bands because further diplomatic breakthroughs or renewed tensions could quickly shift weekly volumes, with historical patterns showing rapid fluctuations tied to official statements on sanctions relief and safe passage guarantees.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 18?
20-39 44%
40-59 29%
<20 23%
60-79 17%
<20
23%
20-39
39%
40-59
29%
60-79
17%
80+
17%
20-39 44%
40-59 29%
<20 23%
60-79 17%
<20
23%
20-39
39%
40-59
29%
60-79
17%
80+
17%
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
बाज़ार खुला: May 18, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations amid the Strait of Hormuz crisis have sustained sharply reduced maritime traffic through this critical energy chokepoint, with daily commercial transits averaging in the single digits to low teens in recent weeks due to Iranian restrictions and routing uncertainty. A fragile April ceasefire has permitted limited passages, primarily eastbound vessels under specific clearances, while naval escorts and mine-clearance operations have yielded only modest increases in throughput. Trader sentiment remains balanced across the 20-39 and 40-59 bands because further diplomatic breakthroughs or renewed tensions could quickly shift weekly volumes, with historical patterns showing rapid fluctuations tied to official statements on sanctions relief and safe passage guarantees.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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