Current meteorological forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and major ensemble models project Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on May 16 to reach exactly 19°C under stable springtime conditions with light southerly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This consensus aligns closely with the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C recorded at the official Xujiahui station and explains the market’s 99.6% implied probability for the 19°C outcome. Minimal model spread leaves little scope for deviation, though an unexpected clearing of skies or a brief shift in steering patterns could allow readings to dip to 18°C. Hourly surface observations through dawn will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 मई को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
16 मई को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
19°C 99.5%
20°C <1%
14°C या उससे कम <1%
18°C <1%
$42,802 वॉल्यूम
$42,802 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
100%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
19°C 99.5%
20°C <1%
14°C या उससे कम <1%
18°C <1%
$42,802 वॉल्यूम
$42,802 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
$3,076 वॉल्यूम
1%
15°C
$3,270 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$1,514 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$3,437 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$1,021 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C
$1,969 वॉल्यूम
100%
20°C
$14,942 वॉल्यूम
1%
21°C
$985 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$615 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$1,568 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C या उससे अधिक
$10,405 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and major ensemble models project Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on May 16 to reach exactly 19°C under stable springtime conditions with light southerly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This consensus aligns closely with the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C recorded at the official Xujiahui station and explains the market’s 99.6% implied probability for the 19°C outcome. Minimal model spread leaves little scope for deviation, though an unexpected clearing of skies or a brief shift in steering patterns could allow readings to dip to 18°C. Hourly surface observations through dawn will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$42,802समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and major ensemble models project Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on May 16 to reach exactly 19°C under stable springtime conditions with light southerly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This consensus aligns closely with the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C recorded at the official Xujiahui station and explains the market’s 99.6% implied probability for the 19°C outcome. Minimal model spread leaves little scope for deviation, though an unexpected clearing of skies or a brief shift in steering patterns could allow readings to dip to 18°C. Hourly surface observations through dawn will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$42,802समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and major ensemble models project Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on May 16 to reach exactly 19°C under stable springtime conditions with light southerly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This consensus aligns closely with the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C recorded at the official Xujiahui station and explains the market’s 99.6% implied probability for the 19°C outcome. Minimal model spread leaves little scope for deviation, though an unexpected clearing of skies or a brief shift in steering patterns could allow readings to dip to 18°C. Hourly surface observations through dawn will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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