Recent monthly CPI prints, including a 3.0% year-over-year reading for July 2026 and 2.8% in June amid gasoline and energy price swings tied to Middle East supply disruptions, have anchored the 2.5–2.9% annual average band as the leading outcome with 33% implied probability. Bank of Canada projections from its July Monetary Policy Report anticipate headline inflation easing toward the 2% target as growth stabilizes, while core measures such as CPI-trim and median hover near that midpoint. Persistent uncertainty over oil trajectories, potential pass-through effects, and upcoming Statistics Canada releases through year-end sustain dispersion across buckets, with trader capital reflecting the balance between near-term volatility and the central bank’s policy path.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCanada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 33.0%
2.0–2.4% 17.7%
3.0-3.4% 16.8%
3.5-3.9% 13.1%
$38,431 Vol.
$38,431 Vol.
<1.0%
4%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
12%
2.0–2.4%
18%
2.5–2.9%
33%
3.0-3.4%
17%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%+
2%
2.5–2.9% 33.0%
2.0–2.4% 17.7%
3.0-3.4% 16.8%
3.5-3.9% 13.1%
$38,431 Vol.
$38,431 Vol.
<1.0%
4%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
12%
2.0–2.4%
18%
2.5–2.9%
33%
3.0-3.4%
17%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI prints, including a 3.0% year-over-year reading for July 2026 and 2.8% in June amid gasoline and energy price swings tied to Middle East supply disruptions, have anchored the 2.5–2.9% annual average band as the leading outcome with 33% implied probability. Bank of Canada projections from its July Monetary Policy Report anticipate headline inflation easing toward the 2% target as growth stabilizes, while core measures such as CPI-trim and median hover near that midpoint. Persistent uncertainty over oil trajectories, potential pass-through effects, and upcoming Statistics Canada releases through year-end sustain dispersion across buckets, with trader capital reflecting the balance between near-term volatility and the central bank’s policy path.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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