Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI data at 0.3% month-over-month, versus a 0.2% consensus, has elevated trader focus on potential reacceleration in underlying price pressures for September. Surging energy costs, with gasoline jumping nearly 4% and contributing over a third of the headline increase, alongside firm shelter and services components, signal possible spillover effects that could sustain momentum. This print, paired with oil prices above $100 amid geopolitical tensions, has shifted market-implied odds toward higher outcomes like 0.5% or 0.4%, reflecting revised expectations for sticky inflation ahead of the September FOMC meeting. Analysts now track core PCE implications near 0.28% monthly, underscoring uncertainty around the Fed's path and the balance between persistent price gains and moderating labor costs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui0.3% 41%
0.6%+ 36%
0.4% 29%
0.5% 29%
≤0.0%
27%
0.1%
27%
0.2%
28%
0.3%
41%
0.4%
29%
0.5%
29%
0.6%+
36%
0.3% 41%
0.6%+ 36%
0.4% 29%
0.5% 29%
≤0.0%
27%
0.1%
27%
0.2%
28%
0.3%
41%
0.4%
29%
0.5%
29%
0.6%+
36%
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI data at 0.3% month-over-month, versus a 0.2% consensus, has elevated trader focus on potential reacceleration in underlying price pressures for September. Surging energy costs, with gasoline jumping nearly 4% and contributing over a third of the headline increase, alongside firm shelter and services components, signal possible spillover effects that could sustain momentum. This print, paired with oil prices above $100 amid geopolitical tensions, has shifted market-implied odds toward higher outcomes like 0.5% or 0.4%, reflecting revised expectations for sticky inflation ahead of the September FOMC meeting. Analysts now track core PCE implications near 0.28% monthly, underscoring uncertainty around the Fed's path and the balance between persistent price gains and moderating labor costs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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