Rising geopolitical tensions from the U.S.-Iran conflict have pushed oil and gasoline prices sharply higher, elevating energy components and supporting upside risks to the September CPI month-over-month reading. August's 0.4% headline gain and hotter-than-expected 0.3% core increase, both released September 11, underscore sticky underlying pressures amid supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. Consumer one-year inflation expectations jumped to 4.6% in early September surveys, reflecting spillover concerns to goods and services. With the next CPI release due October 14 and the FOMC meeting imminent, trader-implied odds remain dispersed across 0.1–0.8% outcomes, pricing in uncertainty over whether energy effects dominate or core moderation emerges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui0.5% 31%
0.6% 18%
0.7% 16%
0.4% 15%
BARU
BARU
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.0%
4%
0.1%
4%
0.2%
12%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
15%
0.5%
31%
0.6%
18%
0.7%
16%
≥0.8%
12%
0.5% 31%
0.6% 18%
0.7% 16%
0.4% 15%
BARU
BARU
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.0%
$50 Vol.
4%
0.1%
$20 Vol.
4%
0.2%
$20 Vol.
12%
0.3%
$20 Vol.
4%
0.4%
$20 Vol.
15%
0.5%
$390 Vol.
31%
0.6%
$20 Vol.
18%
0.7%
$20 Vol.
16%
≥0.8%
$376 Vol.
12%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Rising geopolitical tensions from the U.S.-Iran conflict have pushed oil and gasoline prices sharply higher, elevating energy components and supporting upside risks to the September CPI month-over-month reading. August's 0.4% headline gain and hotter-than-expected 0.3% core increase, both released September 11, underscore sticky underlying pressures amid supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. Consumer one-year inflation expectations jumped to 4.6% in early September surveys, reflecting spillover concerns to goods and services. With the next CPI release due October 14 and the FOMC meeting imminent, trader-implied odds remain dispersed across 0.1–0.8% outcomes, pricing in uncertainty over whether energy effects dominate or core moderation emerges.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Volume
$932Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Rising geopolitical tensions from the U.S.-Iran conflict have pushed oil and gasoline prices sharply higher, elevating energy components and supporting upside risks to the September CPI month-over-month reading. August's 0.4% headline gain and hotter-than-expected 0.3% core increase, both released September 11, underscore sticky underlying pressures amid supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. Consumer one-year inflation expectations jumped to 4.6% in early September surveys, reflecting spillover concerns to goods and services. With the next CPI release due October 14 and the FOMC meeting imminent, trader-implied odds remain dispersed across 0.1–0.8% outcomes, pricing in uncertainty over whether energy effects dominate or core moderation emerges.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$932Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rising geopolitical tensions from the U.S.-Iran conflict have pushed oil and gasoline prices sharply higher, elevating energy components and supporting upside risks to the September CPI month-over-month reading. August's 0.4% headline gain and hotter-than-expected 0.3% core increase, both released September 11, underscore sticky underlying pressures amid supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. Consumer one-year inflation expectations jumped to 4.6% in early September surveys, reflecting spillover concerns to goods and services. With the next CPI release due October 14 and the FOMC meeting imminent, trader-implied odds remain dispersed across 0.1–0.8% outcomes, pricing in uncertainty over whether energy effects dominate or core moderation emerges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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