Recent August core CPI data, which printed at 2.4% year-over-year (down from 2.5% in July) alongside a firmer-than-expected 0.3% month-over-month gain, anchors trader expectations for the September reading near that level. The Cleveland Fed nowcast sits at 2.39%, while services components and tariff-exposed goods dynamics continue to exert upward pressure amid elevated energy prices tied to Middle East supply concerns. This mixed print has lifted near-term rate-hike probabilities for the September FOMC meeting to around 90%, reflecting markets’ view that underlying inflation remains sticky above the Fed’s 2% target. With September data due in mid-October, incoming labor market and shelter figures represent key swing factors that could shift the distribution around the 2.3–2.5% cluster currently priced.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui2.4% 39%
2.5% 21%
2.3% 19%
2.6% 9%
BARU
BARU
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.0%
5%
2.1%
5%
2.2%
8%
2.3%
19%
2.4%
39%
2.5%
21%
2.6%
9%
2.7%
6%
2.8%
5%
≥2.9%
4%
2.4% 39%
2.5% 21%
2.3% 19%
2.6% 9%
BARU
BARU
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.0%
$142 Vol.
5%
2.1%
$142 Vol.
5%
2.2%
$162 Vol.
8%
2.3%
$453 Vol.
19%
2.4%
$1,080 Vol.
39%
2.5%
$229 Vol.
21%
2.6%
$282 Vol.
9%
2.7%
$182 Vol.
6%
2.8%
$142 Vol.
5%
≥2.9%
$349 Vol.
4%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August core CPI data, which printed at 2.4% year-over-year (down from 2.5% in July) alongside a firmer-than-expected 0.3% month-over-month gain, anchors trader expectations for the September reading near that level. The Cleveland Fed nowcast sits at 2.39%, while services components and tariff-exposed goods dynamics continue to exert upward pressure amid elevated energy prices tied to Middle East supply concerns. This mixed print has lifted near-term rate-hike probabilities for the September FOMC meeting to around 90%, reflecting markets’ view that underlying inflation remains sticky above the Fed’s 2% target. With September data due in mid-October, incoming labor market and shelter figures represent key swing factors that could shift the distribution around the 2.3–2.5% cluster currently priced.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,163Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August core CPI data, which printed at 2.4% year-over-year (down from 2.5% in July) alongside a firmer-than-expected 0.3% month-over-month gain, anchors trader expectations for the September reading near that level. The Cleveland Fed nowcast sits at 2.39%, while services components and tariff-exposed goods dynamics continue to exert upward pressure amid elevated energy prices tied to Middle East supply concerns. This mixed print has lifted near-term rate-hike probabilities for the September FOMC meeting to around 90%, reflecting markets’ view that underlying inflation remains sticky above the Fed’s 2% target. With September data due in mid-October, incoming labor market and shelter figures represent key swing factors that could shift the distribution around the 2.3–2.5% cluster currently priced.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$3,163Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August core CPI data, which printed at 2.4% year-over-year (down from 2.5% in July) alongside a firmer-than-expected 0.3% month-over-month gain, anchors trader expectations for the September reading near that level. The Cleveland Fed nowcast sits at 2.39%, while services components and tariff-exposed goods dynamics continue to exert upward pressure amid elevated energy prices tied to Middle East supply concerns. This mixed print has lifted near-term rate-hike probabilities for the September FOMC meeting to around 90%, reflecting markets’ view that underlying inflation remains sticky above the Fed’s 2% target. With September data due in mid-October, incoming labor market and shelter figures represent key swing factors that could shift the distribution around the 2.3–2.5% cluster currently priced.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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