Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a 19°C peak in Beijing on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 46.5% implied probability for that outcome. These conditions are expected to limit daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average near 26°C, with the combined 69.5% trader consensus on 18–20°C reflecting model agreement and modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud changes or wind variations. Official forecast updates throughout the day will provide the key data releases that could shift probabilities as resolution approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
19°C 54%
20°C 24%
18°C 20.4%
21°C 6%
BARU
$29,990 Vol.
BARU
$29,990 Vol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
20%
19°C
54%
20°C
24%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 54%
20°C 24%
18°C 20.4%
21°C 6%
BARU
$29,990 Vol.
BARU
$29,990 Vol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$506 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$629 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,749 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5,142 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,903 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,965 Vol.
20%
19°C
$1,806 Vol.
54%
20°C
$1,933 Vol.
24%
21°C
$1,685 Vol.
6%
22°C
$2,711 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$4,101 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a 19°C peak in Beijing on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 46.5% implied probability for that outcome. These conditions are expected to limit daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average near 26°C, with the combined 69.5% trader consensus on 18–20°C reflecting model agreement and modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud changes or wind variations. Official forecast updates throughout the day will provide the key data releases that could shift probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$29,990Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a 19°C peak in Beijing on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 46.5% implied probability for that outcome. These conditions are expected to limit daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average near 26°C, with the combined 69.5% trader consensus on 18–20°C reflecting model agreement and modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud changes or wind variations. Official forecast updates throughout the day will provide the key data releases that could shift probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,990Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAARecent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a 19°C peak in Beijing on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 46.5% implied probability for that outcome. These conditions are expected to limit daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average near 26°C, with the combined 69.5% trader consensus on 18–20°C reflecting model agreement and modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud changes or wind variations. Official forecast updates throughout the day will provide the key data releases that could shift probabilities as resolution approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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