Persistent summer conditions and model consensus drive the 99% market-implied odds for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 16. Mid-August climatology in Shandong places typical highs near 31–34°C, with current forecasts from agencies such as AccuWeather and regional meteorological services projecting around 31°C under continued warm, humid flow. Historical August averages exceed 30°C, and no significant cold-air intrusion or precipitation-cooled regime appears in the guidance. While ensemble runs show limited spread, a rare late-season front or stronger-than-expected monsoon surge could briefly suppress readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current atmospheric setup.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jinan on August 16?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 16?
26°C or higher 98.6%
25°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 98.6%
25°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
16°C or below
$20 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$101 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$407 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer conditions and model consensus drive the 99% market-implied odds for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 16. Mid-August climatology in Shandong places typical highs near 31–34°C, with current forecasts from agencies such as AccuWeather and regional meteorological services projecting around 31°C under continued warm, humid flow. Historical August averages exceed 30°C, and no significant cold-air intrusion or precipitation-cooled regime appears in the guidance. While ensemble runs show limited spread, a rare late-season front or stronger-than-expected monsoon surge could briefly suppress readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$768Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer conditions and model consensus drive the 99% market-implied odds for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 16. Mid-August climatology in Shandong places typical highs near 31–34°C, with current forecasts from agencies such as AccuWeather and regional meteorological services projecting around 31°C under continued warm, humid flow. Historical August averages exceed 30°C, and no significant cold-air intrusion or precipitation-cooled regime appears in the guidance. While ensemble runs show limited spread, a rare late-season front or stronger-than-expected monsoon surge could briefly suppress readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$768Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer conditions and model consensus drive the 99% market-implied odds for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 16. Mid-August climatology in Shandong places typical highs near 31–34°C, with current forecasts from agencies such as AccuWeather and regional meteorological services projecting around 31°C under continued warm, humid flow. Historical August averages exceed 30°C, and no significant cold-air intrusion or precipitation-cooled regime appears in the guidance. While ensemble runs show limited spread, a rare late-season front or stronger-than-expected monsoon surge could briefly suppress readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current atmospheric setup.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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