Recent forecasts for Mexico City point to a daytime high near 27–29°C on May 18, driven by typical late-spring warming patterns and minimal cloud cover expected under a weak high-pressure ridge. Official model runs and climatological baselines for the region show average May maxima around 26–28°C, with recent daily observations reaching 28–29°C amid dry conditions that favor rapid daytime heating. This data supports the strong market consensus for 27°C or higher, while the modest probabilities assigned to 25–26°C reflect lingering uncertainty in afternoon convection or minor frontal influences that could briefly suppress the peak reading. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will clarify the final outcome before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 18?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 18?
27°C or higher 81%
25°C 10%
26°C 9%
24°C 2.2%
BARU
$12,084 Vol.
BARU
$12,084 Vol.
May 18, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
9%
27°C or higher
81%
27°C or higher 81%
25°C 10%
26°C 9%
24°C 2.2%
BARU
$12,084 Vol.
BARU
$12,084 Vol.
May 18, 2026
17°C or below
$1,887 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,584 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$533 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$436 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$283 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$505 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$552 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,191 Vol.
2%
25°C
$989 Vol.
10%
26°C
$628 Vol.
9%
27°C or higher
$496 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Mexico City point to a daytime high near 27–29°C on May 18, driven by typical late-spring warming patterns and minimal cloud cover expected under a weak high-pressure ridge. Official model runs and climatological baselines for the region show average May maxima around 26–28°C, with recent daily observations reaching 28–29°C amid dry conditions that favor rapid daytime heating. This data supports the strong market consensus for 27°C or higher, while the modest probabilities assigned to 25–26°C reflect lingering uncertainty in afternoon convection or minor frontal influences that could briefly suppress the peak reading. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will clarify the final outcome before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$12,084Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Mexico City point to a daytime high near 27–29°C on May 18, driven by typical late-spring warming patterns and minimal cloud cover expected under a weak high-pressure ridge. Official model runs and climatological baselines for the region show average May maxima around 26–28°C, with recent daily observations reaching 28–29°C amid dry conditions that favor rapid daytime heating. This data supports the strong market consensus for 27°C or higher, while the modest probabilities assigned to 25–26°C reflect lingering uncertainty in afternoon convection or minor frontal influences that could briefly suppress the peak reading. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will clarify the final outcome before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,084Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecasts for Mexico City point to a daytime high near 27–29°C on May 18, driven by typical late-spring warming patterns and minimal cloud cover expected under a weak high-pressure ridge. Official model runs and climatological baselines for the region show average May maxima around 26–28°C, with recent daily observations reaching 28–29°C amid dry conditions that favor rapid daytime heating. This data supports the strong market consensus for 27°C or higher, while the modest probabilities assigned to 25–26°C reflect lingering uncertainty in afternoon convection or minor frontal influences that could briefly suppress the peak reading. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will clarify the final outcome before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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