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icon for How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Politik·Russia

How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?

icon for How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Politik·Russia

How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?

<35 85%

35–44 12.8%

45–54 3.0%

85+ 1.0%

Polymarket

$27,356 Vol.

<35 85%

35–44 12.8%

45–54 3.0%

85+ 1.0%

Polymarket

$27,356 Vol.

<35

$11,020 Vol.

85%

35–44

$7,295 Vol.

13%

45–54

$1,932 Vol.

3%

55–64

$1,876 Vol.

1%

65–74

$1,544 Vol.

<1%

75–84

$1,701 Vol.

1%

85+

$1,987 Vol.

1%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The upcoming Russian State Duma election on September 18–20 features a mixed system of 225 party-list and 225 single-mandate seats, where United Russia maintains structural dominance in the latter. New People, currently holding 15–16 seats after its 2021 debut with 5.3% of the list vote, has seen polling support rise to 10–17% in recent surveys, aided by criticism of internet restrictions and Yabloko’s exclusion from the ballot. However, trader consensus on fewer than 35 seats reflects the party’s limited single-mandate prospects, historical patterns for systemic opposition groups, and the broader constraints of Russia’s electoral framework. The party approved a 299-candidate list and 83 single-mandate nominees this summer, but these factors have not shifted expectations of only modest gains.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$27,356
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The upcoming Russian State Duma election on September 18–20 features a mixed system of 225 party-list and 225 single-mandate seats, where United Russia maintains structural dominance in the latter. New People, currently holding 15–16 seats after its 2021 debut with 5.3% of the list vote, has seen polling support rise to 10–17% in recent surveys, aided by criticism of internet restrictions and Yabloko’s exclusion from the ballot. However, trader consensus on fewer than 35 seats reflects the party’s limited single-mandate prospects, historical patterns for systemic opposition groups, and the broader constraints of Russia’s electoral framework. The party approved a 299-candidate list and 83 single-mandate nominees this summer, but these factors have not shifted expectations of only modest gains.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$27,356
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

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Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win fewer than 45 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

94%
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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "<35" di 85%, diikuti oleh "35–44" di 13%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 85¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 85% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?" telah menghasilkan $27.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?" adalah "<35" di 85%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 85% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "35–44" di 13%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.