Recent diplomatic exchanges between Washington and Tehran have underscored persistent divisions over Iran's nuclear program, particularly its refusal to accept a permanent halt to uranium enrichment or full removal of its highly enriched uranium stockpile. In early May 2026, Iranian counterproposals during talks in Islamabad focused first on ending hostilities and addressing the Strait of Hormuz while deferring detailed nuclear concessions to later phases, including only a possible temporary pause rather than termination by June 30. Iranian officials continue to signal opposition to dismantling facilities or limiting enrichment rights, even as the International Atomic Energy Agency has documented record stockpiles near weapons-grade levels. These developments align with trader consensus that an agreement to end enrichment within the narrow timeframe remains unlikely absent major concessions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIran setuju untuk mengakhiri pengayaan uranium pada 30 Juni?
Ya
$1,381,994 Vol.
$1,381,994 Vol.
Ya
$1,381,994 Vol.
$1,381,994 Vol.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic exchanges between Washington and Tehran have underscored persistent divisions over Iran's nuclear program, particularly its refusal to accept a permanent halt to uranium enrichment or full removal of its highly enriched uranium stockpile. In early May 2026, Iranian counterproposals during talks in Islamabad focused first on ending hostilities and addressing the Strait of Hormuz while deferring detailed nuclear concessions to later phases, including only a possible temporary pause rather than termination by June 30. Iranian officials continue to signal opposition to dismantling facilities or limiting enrichment rights, even as the International Atomic Energy Agency has documented record stockpiles near weapons-grade levels. These developments align with trader consensus that an agreement to end enrichment within the narrow timeframe remains unlikely absent major concessions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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