US-Iran indirect talks remain stalled on Iran's uranium enrichment program, with Washington seeking a long-term moratorium and removal of the country's highly enriched uranium stockpile while Tehran proposes delaying those issues until after a ceasefire and sanctions relief. Recent developments include the apparent postponement of direct discussions on stockpiles, Iran's conditional threat to enrich to 90 percent if attacked, and President Trump's rejection of Tehran's latest counterproposal as insufficient. These factors, alongside ongoing mediation through Oman and Pakistan without resolution on core nuclear limits, sustain trader consensus that no agreement to end enrichment will occur by the June 30 deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIran setuju untuk mengakhiri pengayaan uranium pada 30 Juni?
Ya
$1,383,209 Vol.
$1,383,209 Vol.
Ya
$1,383,209 Vol.
$1,383,209 Vol.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran indirect talks remain stalled on Iran's uranium enrichment program, with Washington seeking a long-term moratorium and removal of the country's highly enriched uranium stockpile while Tehran proposes delaying those issues until after a ceasefire and sanctions relief. Recent developments include the apparent postponement of direct discussions on stockpiles, Iran's conditional threat to enrich to 90 percent if attacked, and President Trump's rejection of Tehran's latest counterproposal as insufficient. These factors, alongside ongoing mediation through Oman and Pakistan without resolution on core nuclear limits, sustain trader consensus that no agreement to end enrichment will occur by the June 30 deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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