Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 29, 2026, indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C with the overnight minimum expected around 16°C under a mild southwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures in the 16–18°C range rather than cooler climatological norms near 12–14°C. Model consensus from agencies like the Met Office emphasizes this elevated baseline due to a moist air mass and lack of clear-sky conditions for stronger temperature drops. With resolution approaching, traders have concentrated implied probabilities on 18°C (61%) and 17°C (41.5%), reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in latest guidance while acknowledging potential for minor forecast revisions from updated model runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 29?
16°C 4.4%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C or below <1%
$8,999 Vol.
$8,999 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
4%
17°C
43%
18°C
61%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 4.4%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C or below <1%
$8,999 Vol.
$8,999 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
4%
17°C
43%
18°C
61%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 29, 2026, indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C with the overnight minimum expected around 16°C under a mild southwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures in the 16–18°C range rather than cooler climatological norms near 12–14°C. Model consensus from agencies like the Met Office emphasizes this elevated baseline due to a moist air mass and lack of clear-sky conditions for stronger temperature drops. With resolution approaching, traders have concentrated implied probabilities on 18°C (61%) and 17°C (41.5%), reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in latest guidance while acknowledging potential for minor forecast revisions from updated model runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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