Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and international models indicate partly to mostly cloudy conditions over Paris on August 31 with light to moderate westerly winds, supporting overnight minimum temperatures of 15–17 °C. These values sit close to seasonal norms for late August and align with the market’s leading outcomes at 17 °C (50.5 %) and 16 °C (40.5 %). Persistent cloud cover and a lack of strong radiative cooling or incoming cold air advection limit the potential for readings at or below 14 °C, while daytime maxima near 23–25 °C reduce the likelihood of substantially warmer overnight lows. Updated model runs and official minimum observations expected on August 30–31 will provide the final data for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 31?
17°C 50%
16°C 40%
15°C 23%
14°C 17%
12°C or below
7%
13°C
15%
14°C
17%
15°C
23%
16°C
40%
17°C
50%
18°C
17%
19°C
15%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
13%
17°C 50%
16°C 40%
15°C 23%
14°C 17%
12°C or below
7%
13°C
15%
14°C
17%
15°C
23%
16°C
40%
17°C
50%
18°C
17%
19°C
15%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and international models indicate partly to mostly cloudy conditions over Paris on August 31 with light to moderate westerly winds, supporting overnight minimum temperatures of 15–17 °C. These values sit close to seasonal norms for late August and align with the market’s leading outcomes at 17 °C (50.5 %) and 16 °C (40.5 %). Persistent cloud cover and a lack of strong radiative cooling or incoming cold air advection limit the potential for readings at or below 14 °C, while daytime maxima near 23–25 °C reduce the likelihood of substantially warmer overnight lows. Updated model runs and official minimum observations expected on August 30–31 will provide the final data for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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