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Politik·Estonia

Next President of Estonia?

icon for Next President of Estonia?
Politik·Estonia

Next President of Estonia?

Ülle Madise 98.0%

Indrek Laul <1%

Mart Helme <1%

Riho Ühtegi <1%

Polymarket

$59,038 Vol.

Ülle Madise 98.0%

Indrek Laul <1%

Mart Helme <1%

Riho Ühtegi <1%

Polymarket

$59,038 Vol.

icon for Ülle Madise

Ülle Madise

$43,589 Vol.

98%

icon for Indrek Laul

Indrek Laul

$1,333 Vol.

1%

icon for Mart Helme

Mart Helme

$1,034 Vol.

<1%

icon for Riho Ühtegi

Riho Ühtegi

$998 Vol.

<1%

icon for Indrek Tarand

Indrek Tarand

$819 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jonatan Vseviov

Jonatan Vseviov

$1,015 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hannes Hanso

Hannes Hanso

$1,190 Vol.

<1%

icon for Maive Rute

Maive Rute

$8,056 Vol.

<1%

icon for Riina Kionka

Riina Kionka

$1,004 Vol.

<1%

Estonia is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on September 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ülle Madise holds a commanding 98% market price because Estonia’s Riigikogu elected her president on 2 September 2026 in the first round with 71 of 101 votes, clearing the required two-thirds majority.** The constitutional lawyer and serving Chancellor of Justice ran unopposed after securing nominations from 75 MPs across the Reform Party, Social Democrats, Estonia 200, and Isamaa. Incumbent Alar Karis had announced in June he would not seek a second term, narrowing the field to a single consensus candidate. With her inauguration set for 12 October, traders price in near-certainty of resolution to Madise. Scenarios that could still shift odds remain limited to extraordinary late developments such as a successful legal challenge to the vote or her inability to assume office before resolution.

Estonia is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on September 2, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Estonia is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on September 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$59,038
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Estonia is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on September 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ülle Madise holds a commanding 98% market price because Estonia’s Riigikogu elected her president on 2 September 2026 in the first round with 71 of 101 votes, clearing the required two-thirds majority.** The constitutional lawyer and serving Chancellor of Justice ran unopposed after securing nominations from 75 MPs across the Reform Party, Social Democrats, Estonia 200, and Isamaa. Incumbent Alar Karis had announced in June he would not seek a second term, narrowing the field to a single consensus candidate. With her inauguration set for 12 October, traders price in near-certainty of resolution to Madise. Scenarios that could still shift odds remain limited to extraordinary late developments such as a successful legal challenge to the vote or her inability to assume office before resolution.

Estonia is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on September 2, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Estonia is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on September 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$59,038
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next President of Estonia?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ülle Madise" di 98%, diikuti oleh "Indrek Laul" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 98¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next President of Estonia?" telah menghasilkan $59K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 27, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next President of Estonia?," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next President of Estonia?" adalah "Ülle Madise" di 98%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Indrek Laul" di 1%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next President of Estonia?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.