The September 3, 2026 by-election results position Liberal candidate Ahsanul Hafiz firmly in second place behind NDP frontrunner Fatima Shaban, aligning with pre-vote polling averages and the riding's recent history of NDP strength. Shaban benefited from established party support on local issues such as housing and affordability following Doly Begum's resignation, while Hafiz consolidated Liberal backing after securing the nomination and leveraging his business and community profile. Progressive Conservative candidate Noor Tarun and others trailed further back, limiting challenges to the middle position. Official Elections Ontario tallies would need substantial adjustments from reported shares or an unforeseen surge by a minor contender to alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given the confirmed margins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAhsanul Hafiz 99.8%
Fatima Shaban <1%
Noor Tarun <1%
Mark Bekkering <1%
$3,322 Vol.
$3,322 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
Fatima Shaban
No
Noor Tarun
No
Ahsanul Hafiz
Yes
Mark Bekkering
No
Chris Rees
No
Ahsanul Hafiz 99.8%
Fatima Shaban <1%
Noor Tarun <1%
Mark Bekkering <1%
$3,322 Vol.
$3,322 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
Fatima Shaban
$334 Vol.
No
Noor Tarun
$841 Vol.
No
Ahsanul Hafiz
$1,829 Vol.
Yes
Mark Bekkering
$149 Vol.
No
Chris Rees
$169 Vol.
No
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).The September 3, 2026 by-election results position Liberal candidate Ahsanul Hafiz firmly in second place behind NDP frontrunner Fatima Shaban, aligning with pre-vote polling averages and the riding's recent history of NDP strength. Shaban benefited from established party support on local issues such as housing and affordability following Doly Begum's resignation, while Hafiz consolidated Liberal backing after securing the nomination and leveraging his business and community profile. Progressive Conservative candidate Noor Tarun and others trailed further back, limiting challenges to the middle position. Official Elections Ontario tallies would need substantial adjustments from reported shares or an unforeseen surge by a minor contender to alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given the confirmed margins.
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volume
$3,322Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 4:49 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.elections.on.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).The September 3, 2026 by-election results position Liberal candidate Ahsanul Hafiz firmly in second place behind NDP frontrunner Fatima Shaban, aligning with pre-vote polling averages and the riding's recent history of NDP strength. Shaban benefited from established party support on local issues such as housing and affordability following Doly Begum's resignation, while Hafiz consolidated Liberal backing after securing the nomination and leveraging his business and community profile. Progressive Conservative candidate Noor Tarun and others trailed further back, limiting challenges to the middle position. Official Elections Ontario tallies would need substantial adjustments from reported shares or an unforeseen surge by a minor contender to alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given the confirmed margins.
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Volume
$3,322Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 4:49 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.elections.on.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The September 3, 2026 by-election results position Liberal candidate Ahsanul Hafiz firmly in second place behind NDP frontrunner Fatima Shaban, aligning with pre-vote polling averages and the riding's recent history of NDP strength. Shaban benefited from established party support on local issues such as housing and affordability following Doly Begum's resignation, while Hafiz consolidated Liberal backing after securing the nomination and leveraging his business and community profile. Progressive Conservative candidate Noor Tarun and others trailed further back, limiting challenges to the middle position. Official Elections Ontario tallies would need substantial adjustments from reported shares or an unforeseen surge by a minor contender to alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given the confirmed margins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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