Moonshot's July 2026 launch of Kimi K3, a 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight MoE with native vision, 1M-token context, and Agent Swarm support for up to 300 sub-agents, has driven its market-implied lead at 87.1% for third place on the arena.ai Agent Arena Labs leaderboard. Strong results on agent-focused benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench, BrowseComp, and Arena frontend coding tasks, combined with rapid ARR growth and availability on Amazon Bedrock, have solidified trader consensus around its agentic capabilities. Leaders like Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra continue to top overall rankings, while Meta, Mistral, and others trail on recent releases. With resolution days away, any last-minute leaderboard shifts from new fine-tunes or evaluations remain the key swing factor.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMoonshot 87.1%
Z.ai 5.2%
Mistral 3.5%
Meta 3.4%
$54,098 Vol.
$54,098 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Moonshot
87%
Z.ai
5%
Mistral
3%
Meta
3%
3%
DeepSeek
3%
SpaceXAI
3%
Anthropic
3%
Alibaba
2%
OpenAI
2%
Amazon
1%
Nvidia
1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Baidu
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Moonshot 87.1%
Z.ai 5.2%
Mistral 3.5%
Meta 3.4%
$54,098 Vol.
$54,098 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Moonshot
$34,493 Vol.
87%
Z.ai
$2,812 Vol.
5%
Mistral
$610 Vol.
3%
Meta
$409 Vol.
3%
$482 Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
$471 Vol.
3%
SpaceXAI
$584 Vol.
3%
Anthropic
$2,459 Vol.
3%
Alibaba
$1,087 Vol.
2%
OpenAI
$7,320 Vol.
2%
Amazon
$414 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$470 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$388 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$609 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$373 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$393 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$408 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot's July 2026 launch of Kimi K3, a 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight MoE with native vision, 1M-token context, and Agent Swarm support for up to 300 sub-agents, has driven its market-implied lead at 87.1% for third place on the arena.ai Agent Arena Labs leaderboard. Strong results on agent-focused benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench, BrowseComp, and Arena frontend coding tasks, combined with rapid ARR growth and availability on Amazon Bedrock, have solidified trader consensus around its agentic capabilities. Leaders like Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra continue to top overall rankings, while Meta, Mistral, and others trail on recent releases. With resolution days away, any last-minute leaderboard shifts from new fine-tunes or evaluations remain the key swing factor.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Volume
$54,098Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot's July 2026 launch of Kimi K3, a 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight MoE with native vision, 1M-token context, and Agent Swarm support for up to 300 sub-agents, has driven its market-implied lead at 87.1% for third place on the arena.ai Agent Arena Labs leaderboard. Strong results on agent-focused benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench, BrowseComp, and Arena frontend coding tasks, combined with rapid ARR growth and availability on Amazon Bedrock, have solidified trader consensus around its agentic capabilities. Leaders like Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra continue to top overall rankings, while Meta, Mistral, and others trail on recent releases. With resolution days away, any last-minute leaderboard shifts from new fine-tunes or evaluations remain the key swing factor.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$54,098Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot's July 2026 launch of Kimi K3, a 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight MoE with native vision, 1M-token context, and Agent Swarm support for up to 300 sub-agents, has driven its market-implied lead at 87.1% for third place on the arena.ai Agent Arena Labs leaderboard. Strong results on agent-focused benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench, BrowseComp, and Arena frontend coding tasks, combined with rapid ARR growth and availability on Amazon Bedrock, have solidified trader consensus around its agentic capabilities. Leaders like Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra continue to top overall rankings, while Meta, Mistral, and others trail on recent releases. With resolution days away, any last-minute leaderboard shifts from new fine-tunes or evaluations remain the key swing factor.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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