Trump's job approval has trended lower through the first months of his second term, with recent national polls placing it near 34-40 percent amid widespread public opposition to U.S. military involvement in the Iran conflict and concerns over inflation and rising prices. These issues have weighed on independent and Democratic-leaning voters while producing mixed results within the Republican base, particularly on economic stewardship. With the November 2026 midterm elections approaching, shifts in congressional control could alter the legislative environment and public focus. Any resolution or escalation of the Iran situation, changes in economic indicators, or major policy announcements in the coming months remain the primary variables likely to influence future peaks in approval.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
↑ 44%
10%
↑ 45%
11%
↑ 46%
14%
↑ 47%
41%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
10%
↑ 50%
3%
$4,837 Vol.
↑ 44%
10%
↑ 45%
11%
↑ 46%
14%
↑ 47%
41%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
10%
↑ 50%
3%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's job approval has trended lower through the first months of his second term, with recent national polls placing it near 34-40 percent amid widespread public opposition to U.S. military involvement in the Iran conflict and concerns over inflation and rising prices. These issues have weighed on independent and Democratic-leaning voters while producing mixed results within the Republican base, particularly on economic stewardship. With the November 2026 midterm elections approaching, shifts in congressional control could alter the legislative environment and public focus. Any resolution or escalation of the Iran situation, changes in economic indicators, or major policy announcements in the coming months remain the primary variables likely to influence future peaks in approval.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions