With the Andalusian regional election set for May 17, recent polls like GESOP (May 10) and El Periódico project Partido Popular (PP) seats at 52-55 in the 109-seat parliament, shy of the 55 needed for absolute majority, as Vox surges to 17-20 amid right-wing fragmentation. Earlier surveys such as CIS (April) and NC Report (May 11) showed PP at 55-58, but late momentum to Vox and polling error margins fuel trader skepticism. Incumbent president Juanma Moreno leads a dominant PP over a historically weak PSOE, yet consensus implies competitive risks in final campaign days.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
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Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).With the Andalusian regional election set for May 17, recent polls like GESOP (May 10) and El Periódico project Partido Popular (PP) seats at 52-55 in the 109-seat parliament, shy of the 55 needed for absolute majority, as Vox surges to 17-20 amid right-wing fragmentation. Earlier surveys such as CIS (April) and NC Report (May 11) showed PP at 55-58, but late momentum to Vox and polling error margins fuel trader skepticism. Incumbent president Juanma Moreno leads a dominant PP over a historically weak PSOE, yet consensus implies competitive risks in final campaign days.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Volume
$3,466Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).With the Andalusian regional election set for May 17, recent polls like GESOP (May 10) and El Periódico project Partido Popular (PP) seats at 52-55 in the 109-seat parliament, shy of the 55 needed for absolute majority, as Vox surges to 17-20 amid right-wing fragmentation. Earlier surveys such as CIS (April) and NC Report (May 11) showed PP at 55-58, but late momentum to Vox and polling error margins fuel trader skepticism. Incumbent president Juanma Moreno leads a dominant PP over a historically weak PSOE, yet consensus implies competitive risks in final campaign days.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Volume
$3,466Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With the Andalusian regional election set for May 17, recent polls like GESOP (May 10) and El Periódico project Partido Popular (PP) seats at 52-55 in the 109-seat parliament, shy of the 55 needed for absolute majority, as Vox surges to 17-20 amid right-wing fragmentation. Earlier surveys such as CIS (April) and NC Report (May 11) showed PP at 55-58, but late momentum to Vox and polling error margins fuel trader skepticism. Incumbent president Juanma Moreno leads a dominant PP over a historically weak PSOE, yet consensus implies competitive risks in final campaign days.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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