Recent tweet volume provides the key context for trader positioning in this market. Elon Musk averaged roughly 22 posts per day in the week ending August 18, 2026, with elevated activity tied to SpaceX updates and the lead-up to Tesla AI Day on August 19. The 40-64 range leads at 46.5% implied probability, followed by sub-40 tweets at 31.7%, reflecting expectations of moderate weekend output absent major catalysts like product launches or earnings. Historical patterns show consistent high-frequency posting overall, yet daily rates can dip outside workweek news cycles. No confirmed events are slated for August 20-22 that would drive sustained engagement, leaving room for momentum shifts from real-time developments or platform dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato40-64 47%
meno di 40 31.8%
65-89 19%
90-114 4.3%
NUOVO
$10,360 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,360 Vol.
22 ago 2026
meno di 40
32%
40-64
47%
65-89
19%
90-114
4%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 47%
meno di 40 31.8%
65-89 19%
90-114 4.3%
NUOVO
$10,360 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,360 Vol.
22 ago 2026
meno di 40
$324 Vol.
32%
40-64
$161 Vol.
47%
65-89
$101 Vol.
19%
90-114
$152 Vol.
4%
115-139
$1,197 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$1,617 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$3,797 Vol.
1%
190-214
$1,120 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$1,120 Vol.
<1%
240+
$770 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent tweet volume provides the key context for trader positioning in this market. Elon Musk averaged roughly 22 posts per day in the week ending August 18, 2026, with elevated activity tied to SpaceX updates and the lead-up to Tesla AI Day on August 19. The 40-64 range leads at 46.5% implied probability, followed by sub-40 tweets at 31.7%, reflecting expectations of moderate weekend output absent major catalysts like product launches or earnings. Historical patterns show consistent high-frequency posting overall, yet daily rates can dip outside workweek news cycles. No confirmed events are slated for August 20-22 that would drive sustained engagement, leaving room for momentum shifts from real-time developments or platform dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$10,360Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent tweet volume provides the key context for trader positioning in this market. Elon Musk averaged roughly 22 posts per day in the week ending August 18, 2026, with elevated activity tied to SpaceX updates and the lead-up to Tesla AI Day on August 19. The 40-64 range leads at 46.5% implied probability, followed by sub-40 tweets at 31.7%, reflecting expectations of moderate weekend output absent major catalysts like product launches or earnings. Historical patterns show consistent high-frequency posting overall, yet daily rates can dip outside workweek news cycles. No confirmed events are slated for August 20-22 that would drive sustained engagement, leaving room for momentum shifts from real-time developments or platform dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$10,360Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent tweet volume provides the key context for trader positioning in this market. Elon Musk averaged roughly 22 posts per day in the week ending August 18, 2026, with elevated activity tied to SpaceX updates and the lead-up to Tesla AI Day on August 19. The 40-64 range leads at 46.5% implied probability, followed by sub-40 tweets at 31.7%, reflecting expectations of moderate weekend output absent major catalysts like product launches or earnings. Historical patterns show consistent high-frequency posting overall, yet daily rates can dip outside workweek news cycles. No confirmed events are slated for August 20-22 that would drive sustained engagement, leaving room for momentum shifts from real-time developments or platform dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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