Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, anchoring the market-implied probability at 100 percent for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin sustains clear skies and light northeasterly winds that reduce cloud cover and enhance daytime solar heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor ensemble spread, yet official guidance shows little support for significant deviation. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observation window and any last adjustments to steering flow that could nudge the recorded high one degree higher or lower before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 17 maggio?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,734 Vol.
$66,734 Vol.
17 mag 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,734 Vol.
$66,734 Vol.
17 mag 2026
23°C or below
$1,364 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,745 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,268 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,042 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,982 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,251 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,424 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,437 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,351 Vol.
100%
32°C
$8,891 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$6,979 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, anchoring the market-implied probability at 100 percent for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin sustains clear skies and light northeasterly winds that reduce cloud cover and enhance daytime solar heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor ensemble spread, yet official guidance shows little support for significant deviation. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observation window and any last adjustments to steering flow that could nudge the recorded high one degree higher or lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$66,734Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, anchoring the market-implied probability at 100 percent for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin sustains clear skies and light northeasterly winds that reduce cloud cover and enhance daytime solar heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor ensemble spread, yet official guidance shows little support for significant deviation. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observation window and any last adjustments to steering flow that could nudge the recorded high one degree higher or lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$66,734Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, anchoring the market-implied probability at 100 percent for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin sustains clear skies and light northeasterly winds that reduce cloud cover and enhance daytime solar heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor ensemble spread, yet official guidance shows little support for significant deviation. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observation window and any last adjustments to steering flow that could nudge the recorded high one degree higher or lower before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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