Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu on May 18, driving the closely bunched market-implied odds across 29–32°C outcomes. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin favors clear skies and light northeasterly winds that enhance daytime solar heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture and minor model spread sustain viability for slightly lower or higher peaks, while probabilities for 33°C or above remain minimal. Traders monitor the final afternoon observation window at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport and any last steering-flow adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 18 maggio?
30°C 25%
31°C 23%
29°C 19%
32°C 19%
NUOVO
$12,837 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,837 Vol.
18 mag 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
11%
29°C
19%
30°C
25%
31°C
23%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 25%
31°C 23%
29°C 19%
32°C 19%
NUOVO
$12,837 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,837 Vol.
18 mag 2026
26°C or below
$1,615 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,061 Vol.
2%
28°C
$565 Vol.
11%
29°C
$1,124 Vol.
19%
30°C
$753 Vol.
25%
31°C
$1,067 Vol.
23%
32°C
$1,078 Vol.
19%
33°C
$960 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,050 Vol.
1%
35°C
$725 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,877 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu on May 18, driving the closely bunched market-implied odds across 29–32°C outcomes. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin favors clear skies and light northeasterly winds that enhance daytime solar heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture and minor model spread sustain viability for slightly lower or higher peaks, while probabilities for 33°C or above remain minimal. Traders monitor the final afternoon observation window at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport and any last steering-flow adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$12,837Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu on May 18, driving the closely bunched market-implied odds across 29–32°C outcomes. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin favors clear skies and light northeasterly winds that enhance daytime solar heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture and minor model spread sustain viability for slightly lower or higher peaks, while probabilities for 33°C or above remain minimal. Traders monitor the final afternoon observation window at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport and any last steering-flow adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,837Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURecent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu on May 18, driving the closely bunched market-implied odds across 29–32°C outcomes. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin favors clear skies and light northeasterly winds that enhance daytime solar heating above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture and minor model spread sustain viability for slightly lower or higher peaks, while probabilities for 33°C or above remain minimal. Traders monitor the final afternoon observation window at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport and any last steering-flow adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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