Traders show near-certainty that Denver’s highest temperature on May 15 will reach at least 74°F, anchored in National Weather Service forecast guidance projecting daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Stable high-pressure ridging, southerly flow, and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies are expected to drive rapid boundary-layer warming across the Front Range, where downslope winds further enhance temperatures. Current NOAA model consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs near 71°F frequently climb higher during warm advection episodes. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cold-front passage could realistically prevent the threshold, though steering patterns and ensemble spread make such a shift improbable before peak heating occurs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Denver on May 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$51,118 Vol.
$51,118 Vol.
15 mag 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$51,118 Vol.
$51,118 Vol.
15 mag 2026
55°F or below
$17,472 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$3,554 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$2,032 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,179 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,890 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$1,919 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$2,620 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$2,210 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$2,675 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$7,619 Vol.
No
74°F or higher
$6,948 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders show near-certainty that Denver’s highest temperature on May 15 will reach at least 74°F, anchored in National Weather Service forecast guidance projecting daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Stable high-pressure ridging, southerly flow, and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies are expected to drive rapid boundary-layer warming across the Front Range, where downslope winds further enhance temperatures. Current NOAA model consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs near 71°F frequently climb higher during warm advection episodes. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cold-front passage could realistically prevent the threshold, though steering patterns and ensemble spread make such a shift improbable before peak heating occurs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Volume
$51,118Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders show near-certainty that Denver’s highest temperature on May 15 will reach at least 74°F, anchored in National Weather Service forecast guidance projecting daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Stable high-pressure ridging, southerly flow, and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies are expected to drive rapid boundary-layer warming across the Front Range, where downslope winds further enhance temperatures. Current NOAA model consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs near 71°F frequently climb higher during warm advection episodes. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cold-front passage could realistically prevent the threshold, though steering patterns and ensemble spread make such a shift improbable before peak heating occurs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,118Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Traders show near-certainty that Denver’s highest temperature on May 15 will reach at least 74°F, anchored in National Weather Service forecast guidance projecting daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Stable high-pressure ridging, southerly flow, and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies are expected to drive rapid boundary-layer warming across the Front Range, where downslope winds further enhance temperatures. Current NOAA model consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs near 71°F frequently climb higher during warm advection episodes. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cold-front passage could realistically prevent the threshold, though steering patterns and ensemble spread make such a shift improbable before peak heating occurs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti