Trader consensus strongly supports a highest temperature of 22°C in Istanbul on May 17, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles. Current surface observations and satellite data show stable conditions with moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, aligning closely with climatological averages for mid-May in the Marmara region. These models project peak readings near 22°C by afternoon, with minimal risk of significant warm advection or clear-sky intensification that could elevate values. Official resolution hinges on verified maximums from central monitoring stations, though minor urban heat island effects or brief clear periods remain the primary variables that could influence the final recorded high.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 17 maggio?
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
21°C <1%
$58,201 Vol.
$58,201 Vol.
17 mag 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
21°C <1%
$58,201 Vol.
$58,201 Vol.
17 mag 2026
14°C or below
$552 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,271 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$13,506 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,184 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,050 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4,667 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,675 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,315 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$7,383 Vol.
100%
23°C
$5,568 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$11,034 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly supports a highest temperature of 22°C in Istanbul on May 17, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles. Current surface observations and satellite data show stable conditions with moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, aligning closely with climatological averages for mid-May in the Marmara region. These models project peak readings near 22°C by afternoon, with minimal risk of significant warm advection or clear-sky intensification that could elevate values. Official resolution hinges on verified maximums from central monitoring stations, though minor urban heat island effects or brief clear periods remain the primary variables that could influence the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$58,201Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly supports a highest temperature of 22°C in Istanbul on May 17, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles. Current surface observations and satellite data show stable conditions with moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, aligning closely with climatological averages for mid-May in the Marmara region. These models project peak readings near 22°C by afternoon, with minimal risk of significant warm advection or clear-sky intensification that could elevate values. Official resolution hinges on verified maximums from central monitoring stations, though minor urban heat island effects or brief clear periods remain the primary variables that could influence the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$58,201Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus strongly supports a highest temperature of 22°C in Istanbul on May 17, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles. Current surface observations and satellite data show stable conditions with moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, aligning closely with climatological averages for mid-May in the Marmara region. These models project peak readings near 22°C by afternoon, with minimal risk of significant warm advection or clear-sky intensification that could elevate values. Official resolution hinges on verified maximums from central monitoring stations, though minor urban heat island effects or brief clear periods remain the primary variables that could influence the final recorded high.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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