The overwhelming trader consensus for a maximum of 41°C or below in Lucknow on May 17 stems primarily from the India Meteorological Department’s latest forecast projecting a peak near 41°C under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This aligns with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that have kept readings several degrees below the typical mid-May climatological baseline of 40–42°C. With minimal model spread in this short-range outlook and final resolution tied to official airport observatory data, the market assigns only negligible probability to higher brackets. Any last-minute drying trend or stronger solar insolation could still push readings toward 42°C before sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 17 maggio?
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$44,202 Vol.
$44,202 Vol.
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$44,202 Vol.
$44,202 Vol.
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe overwhelming trader consensus for a maximum of 41°C or below in Lucknow on May 17 stems primarily from the India Meteorological Department’s latest forecast projecting a peak near 41°C under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This aligns with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that have kept readings several degrees below the typical mid-May climatological baseline of 40–42°C. With minimal model spread in this short-range outlook and final resolution tied to official airport observatory data, the market assigns only negligible probability to higher brackets. Any last-minute drying trend or stronger solar insolation could still push readings toward 42°C before sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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