Persistent high-pressure ridging across the Iberian Peninsula, as indicated by the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System ensemble runs, has produced stable anticyclonic conditions favoring modest daytime heating in Madrid. With overnight lows near 11 °C, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover or moisture advection, afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the 22–23 °C range according to Agencia Estatal de Meteorología guidance. This narrow uncertainty band under short-range modeling underpins the market-implied odds clustering most heavily on 22 °C and 23 °C, while traders monitor real-time AEMET observations through the afternoon for any final adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 17 maggio?
22°C 51%
23°C 26%
21°C 14%
24°C 7%
$21,427 Vol.
$21,427 Vol.
17 mag 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
14%
22°C
51%
23°C
26%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 51%
23°C 26%
21°C 14%
24°C 7%
$21,427 Vol.
$21,427 Vol.
17 mag 2026
17°C or below
$2,658 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,645 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,391 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,597 Vol.
3%
21°C
$3,083 Vol.
14%
22°C
$3,316 Vol.
51%
23°C
$2,222 Vol.
26%
24°C
$1,532 Vol.
7%
25°C
$1,236 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,218 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$914 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure ridging across the Iberian Peninsula, as indicated by the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System ensemble runs, has produced stable anticyclonic conditions favoring modest daytime heating in Madrid. With overnight lows near 11 °C, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover or moisture advection, afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the 22–23 °C range according to Agencia Estatal de Meteorología guidance. This narrow uncertainty band under short-range modeling underpins the market-implied odds clustering most heavily on 22 °C and 23 °C, while traders monitor real-time AEMET observations through the afternoon for any final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$21,427Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure ridging across the Iberian Peninsula, as indicated by the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System ensemble runs, has produced stable anticyclonic conditions favoring modest daytime heating in Madrid. With overnight lows near 11 °C, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover or moisture advection, afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the 22–23 °C range according to Agencia Estatal de Meteorología guidance. This narrow uncertainty band under short-range modeling underpins the market-implied odds clustering most heavily on 22 °C and 23 °C, while traders monitor real-time AEMET observations through the afternoon for any final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,427Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDPersistent high-pressure ridging across the Iberian Peninsula, as indicated by the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System ensemble runs, has produced stable anticyclonic conditions favoring modest daytime heating in Madrid. With overnight lows near 11 °C, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover or moisture advection, afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the 22–23 °C range according to Agencia Estatal de Meteorología guidance. This narrow uncertainty band under short-range modeling underpins the market-implied odds clustering most heavily on 22 °C and 23 °C, while traders monitor real-time AEMET observations through the afternoon for any final adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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