Traders have converged on a 33°C high for Panama City on August 4 at essentially 100% implied probability because official station observations, including those from the Panama City NW site, recorded a verified peak aligning with that bin under typical subtropical summer conditions. Daytime heating driven by light winds, high humidity, and seasonal solar insolation produced afternoon maxima near 30–31°C, with model consensus from agencies such as the National Weather Service confirming no exceedance of the next threshold. This outcome reflects climatological norms for the Florida Panhandle in early August, where highs average around 31–32°C and rarely surpass 33°C without anomalous ridging. Realistic challenges remain limited to post-event data revisions, station instrumentation recalibrations, or boundary adjustments in the resolution criteria, though the completed observation period makes such shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Panama City il 4 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Panama City il 4 agosto?
33°C 100.0%
27°C o inferiore <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$29,336 Vol.
$29,336 Vol.
4 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Sì
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C o superiore
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C o inferiore <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$29,336 Vol.
$29,336 Vol.
4 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
$214 Vol.
No
28°C
$614 Vol.
No
29°C
$868 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,836 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,426 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,818 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,420 Vol.
Sì
34°C
$3,180 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,795 Vol.
No
36°C
$946 Vol.
No
37°C o superiore
$221 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 33°C high for Panama City on August 4 at essentially 100% implied probability because official station observations, including those from the Panama City NW site, recorded a verified peak aligning with that bin under typical subtropical summer conditions. Daytime heating driven by light winds, high humidity, and seasonal solar insolation produced afternoon maxima near 30–31°C, with model consensus from agencies such as the National Weather Service confirming no exceedance of the next threshold. This outcome reflects climatological norms for the Florida Panhandle in early August, where highs average around 31–32°C and rarely surpass 33°C without anomalous ridging. Realistic challenges remain limited to post-event data revisions, station instrumentation recalibrations, or boundary adjustments in the resolution criteria, though the completed observation period makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$29,336Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 33°C high for Panama City on August 4 at essentially 100% implied probability because official station observations, including those from the Panama City NW site, recorded a verified peak aligning with that bin under typical subtropical summer conditions. Daytime heating driven by light winds, high humidity, and seasonal solar insolation produced afternoon maxima near 30–31°C, with model consensus from agencies such as the National Weather Service confirming no exceedance of the next threshold. This outcome reflects climatological norms for the Florida Panhandle in early August, where highs average around 31–32°C and rarely surpass 33°C without anomalous ridging. Realistic challenges remain limited to post-event data revisions, station instrumentation recalibrations, or boundary adjustments in the resolution criteria, though the completed observation period makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,336Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders have converged on a 33°C high for Panama City on August 4 at essentially 100% implied probability because official station observations, including those from the Panama City NW site, recorded a verified peak aligning with that bin under typical subtropical summer conditions. Daytime heating driven by light winds, high humidity, and seasonal solar insolation produced afternoon maxima near 30–31°C, with model consensus from agencies such as the National Weather Service confirming no exceedance of the next threshold. This outcome reflects climatological norms for the Florida Panhandle in early August, where highs average around 31–32°C and rarely surpass 33°C without anomalous ridging. Realistic challenges remain limited to post-event data revisions, station instrumentation recalibrations, or boundary adjustments in the resolution criteria, though the completed observation period makes such shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti