Trader consensus on a 16°C high for Paris on May 17 rests on recent observational data and updated forecast models showing daytime temperatures capped near that level under persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds. Météo-France guidance had projected a potential peak of 18–19°C earlier in the week, yet the latest runs indicate suppressed warming due to overcast conditions and morning lows around 7–9°C. This aligns with typical May variability while falling below the long-term average high of roughly 18°C. With afternoon observations confirming readings in the mid-15°C range and no intensification expected before evening, the final official maximum from monitoring stations will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 17 maggio?
16°C 96.5%
17°C 2.5%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$112,867 Vol.
$112,867 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
97%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 96.5%
17°C 2.5%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$112,867 Vol.
$112,867 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
97%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBTrader consensus on a 16°C high for Paris on May 17 rests on recent observational data and updated forecast models showing daytime temperatures capped near that level under persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds. Météo-France guidance had projected a potential peak of 18–19°C earlier in the week, yet the latest runs indicate suppressed warming due to overcast conditions and morning lows around 7–9°C. This aligns with typical May variability while falling below the long-term average high of roughly 18°C. With afternoon observations confirming readings in the mid-15°C range and no intensification expected before evening, the final official maximum from monitoring stations will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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