Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and Trip.com indicate a daily high near 29–30°C for Qingdao on August 14, aligning with market clustering around those outcomes amid closely matched probabilities for 30°C and 31°C. Maritime moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with expected light rain or showers and northeasterly flow, is limiting daytime heating compared with earlier August heat across Shandong. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet short-term numerical weather prediction guidance shows modest variability tied to cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities if conditions trend drier or clearer than currently anticipated.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 14 agosto?
31°C 38%
30°C 32%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
$12,643 Vol.
$12,643 Vol.
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
32%
31°C
38%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 38%
30°C 32%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
$12,643 Vol.
$12,643 Vol.
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
32%
31°C
38%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and Trip.com indicate a daily high near 29–30°C for Qingdao on August 14, aligning with market clustering around those outcomes amid closely matched probabilities for 30°C and 31°C. Maritime moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with expected light rain or showers and northeasterly flow, is limiting daytime heating compared with earlier August heat across Shandong. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet short-term numerical weather prediction guidance shows modest variability tied to cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities if conditions trend drier or clearer than currently anticipated.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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