National Weather Service forecast models project a daily high of 58–59°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport today, driving the 84.5% market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a stable high-pressure ridge maintain moderate temperatures without significant warming aloft or downslope effects that could push readings higher. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers around the upper 50s to low 60s, and current numerical guidance shows tight model consensus with minimal spread. Traders are weighting the absence of late-day clearing or stronger solar heating that might otherwise elevate the peak, leaving only slim odds for adjacent ranges. Resolution depends on the official maximum reported by the end of the calendar day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Seattle il 16 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Seattle il 16 maggio?
58-59°F 92.5%
60-61°F 6.6%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$85,178 Vol.
$85,178 Vol.
16 mag 2026
47°F o inferiore
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
92%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F o superiore
<1%
58-59°F 92.5%
60-61°F 6.6%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$85,178 Vol.
$85,178 Vol.
16 mag 2026
47°F o inferiore
$13,297 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$15,486 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$9,294 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$6,322 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$5,161 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$6,695 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$6,308 Vol.
92%
60-61°F
$11,945 Vol.
7%
62-63°F
$6,996 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$1,729 Vol.
<1%
66°F o superiore
$2,157 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models project a daily high of 58–59°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport today, driving the 84.5% market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a stable high-pressure ridge maintain moderate temperatures without significant warming aloft or downslope effects that could push readings higher. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers around the upper 50s to low 60s, and current numerical guidance shows tight model consensus with minimal spread. Traders are weighting the absence of late-day clearing or stronger solar heating that might otherwise elevate the peak, leaving only slim odds for adjacent ranges. Resolution depends on the official maximum reported by the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$85,178Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models project a daily high of 58–59°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport today, driving the 84.5% market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a stable high-pressure ridge maintain moderate temperatures without significant warming aloft or downslope effects that could push readings higher. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers around the upper 50s to low 60s, and current numerical guidance shows tight model consensus with minimal spread. Traders are weighting the absence of late-day clearing or stronger solar heating that might otherwise elevate the peak, leaving only slim odds for adjacent ranges. Resolution depends on the official maximum reported by the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$85,178Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecast models project a daily high of 58–59°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport today, driving the 84.5% market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a stable high-pressure ridge maintain moderate temperatures without significant warming aloft or downslope effects that could push readings higher. Historical mid-May climatology for the region centers around the upper 50s to low 60s, and current numerical guidance shows tight model consensus with minimal spread. Traders are weighting the absence of late-day clearing or stronger solar heating that might otherwise elevate the peak, leaving only slim odds for adjacent ranges. Resolution depends on the official maximum reported by the end of the calendar day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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