Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts indicate peak temperatures in Shenzhen on May 17 clustering near 27°C, shaped by humid southwesterly monsoon flow off the South China Sea that fuels afternoon convection and caps insolation. This follows the clearer, warmer conditions that produced 31°C on May 13, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers now moderating daytime highs relative to the seasonal 29°C climatological average. Land-sea breeze effects and variable boundary-layer moisture further differentiate outcomes between 26°C and 28°C, while higher thresholds remain unlikely absent rapid clearing. Official resolution will rely on Bao’an Airport observations, with final model guidance expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 17 maggio?
26°C 32%
27°C 32%
28°C 24%
29°C 13%
NUOVO
$20,577 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,577 Vol.
17 mag 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
32%
27°C
32%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
27°C 32%
28°C 24%
29°C 13%
NUOVO
$20,577 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,577 Vol.
17 mag 2026
21°C or below
$1,761 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,783 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,725 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,199 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,210 Vol.
7%
26°C
$1,458 Vol.
32%
27°C
$1,076 Vol.
32%
28°C
$936 Vol.
24%
29°C
$1,104 Vol.
13%
30°C
$741 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$3,585 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts indicate peak temperatures in Shenzhen on May 17 clustering near 27°C, shaped by humid southwesterly monsoon flow off the South China Sea that fuels afternoon convection and caps insolation. This follows the clearer, warmer conditions that produced 31°C on May 13, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers now moderating daytime highs relative to the seasonal 29°C climatological average. Land-sea breeze effects and variable boundary-layer moisture further differentiate outcomes between 26°C and 28°C, while higher thresholds remain unlikely absent rapid clearing. Official resolution will rely on Bao’an Airport observations, with final model guidance expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$20,577Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts indicate peak temperatures in Shenzhen on May 17 clustering near 27°C, shaped by humid southwesterly monsoon flow off the South China Sea that fuels afternoon convection and caps insolation. This follows the clearer, warmer conditions that produced 31°C on May 13, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers now moderating daytime highs relative to the seasonal 29°C climatological average. Land-sea breeze effects and variable boundary-layer moisture further differentiate outcomes between 26°C and 28°C, while higher thresholds remain unlikely absent rapid clearing. Official resolution will rely on Bao’an Airport observations, with final model guidance expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,577Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRecent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts indicate peak temperatures in Shenzhen on May 17 clustering near 27°C, shaped by humid southwesterly monsoon flow off the South China Sea that fuels afternoon convection and caps insolation. This follows the clearer, warmer conditions that produced 31°C on May 13, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers now moderating daytime highs relative to the seasonal 29°C climatological average. Land-sea breeze effects and variable boundary-layer moisture further differentiate outcomes between 26°C and 28°C, while higher thresholds remain unlikely absent rapid clearing. Official resolution will rely on Bao’an Airport observations, with final model guidance expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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