Recent official forecasts from Singapore's National Environment Agency project daily maximum temperatures of 31–33°C for May 18, reflecting typical inter-monsoon conditions with afternoon thundery showers that moderate peak heat. These outlooks, consistent with climatological baselines near 32°C, have reinforced trader focus on the 32°C outcome while limiting upside for 34°C or higher amid expected convective cooling. Minor model adjustments in recent runs show limited deviation from seasonal averages, sustaining the current distribution that assigns over 80% combined probability to the narrow 31–33°C range. Updated guidance ahead of the May 18 observation window remains the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Singapore il 18 maggio?
32°C 40%
33°C 22%
31°C 21%
30°C 7%
$11,307 Vol.
$11,307 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
21%
32°C
40%
33°C
22%
34°C or higher
5%
32°C 40%
33°C 22%
31°C 21%
30°C 7%
$11,307 Vol.
$11,307 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
21%
32°C
40%
33°C
22%
34°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSRecent official forecasts from Singapore's National Environment Agency project daily maximum temperatures of 31–33°C for May 18, reflecting typical inter-monsoon conditions with afternoon thundery showers that moderate peak heat. These outlooks, consistent with climatological baselines near 32°C, have reinforced trader focus on the 32°C outcome while limiting upside for 34°C or higher amid expected convective cooling. Minor model adjustments in recent runs show limited deviation from seasonal averages, sustaining the current distribution that assigns over 80% combined probability to the narrow 31–33°C range. Updated guidance ahead of the May 18 observation window remains the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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