**Trader sentiment for the Tel Aviv maximum temperature on August 5 centers on the 32–33°C range because official Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global model consensus forecast a typical early-August day under subtropical high pressure, with clear skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and a stabilizing sea breeze that limits coastal warming.** Historical August averages hover near 30–31°C, placing 32–33°C comfortably within one standard deviation while making 34°C+ less probable absent unexpected model shifts or reduced cloud cover. Recent short-range updates show minimal spread, reinforcing the market’s heavy weighting on 33°C (68%) over 32°C (24.5%) and keeping lower or higher outcomes near negligible odds. The next IMS briefing and updated model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 5 agosto?
33°C 69%
32°C 22%
34°C 9%
31°C <1%
$28,243 Vol.
$28,243 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
22%
33°C
69%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 69%
32°C 22%
34°C 9%
31°C <1%
$28,243 Vol.
$28,243 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
22%
33°C
69%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the Tel Aviv maximum temperature on August 5 centers on the 32–33°C range because official Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global model consensus forecast a typical early-August day under subtropical high pressure, with clear skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and a stabilizing sea breeze that limits coastal warming.** Historical August averages hover near 30–31°C, placing 32–33°C comfortably within one standard deviation while making 34°C+ less probable absent unexpected model shifts or reduced cloud cover. Recent short-range updates show minimal spread, reinforcing the market’s heavy weighting on 33°C (68%) over 32°C (24.5%) and keeping lower or higher outcomes near negligible odds. The next IMS briefing and updated model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti