Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate strong daytime heating under a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning 33°C as the most probable maximum for Tel Aviv on May 17 with a market-implied probability of 45.8 percent. This reflects a shift from recent cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16 toward conditions exceeding the climatological May average of 26–28°C. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze influence through midday are expected to accelerate surface warming, though model consensus shows only modest potential for 34°C or higher at 30.0 and 3.8 percent respectively. Final resolution will depend on official observations at Ben Gurion International Airport later today.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 17 maggio?
34°C 92%
35°C or higher 4.9%
31°C <1%
30°C <1%
$57,326 Vol.
$57,326 Vol.
17 mag 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
92%
35°C or higher
5%
34°C 92%
35°C or higher 4.9%
31°C <1%
30°C <1%
$57,326 Vol.
$57,326 Vol.
17 mag 2026
25°C or below
$10,442 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,762 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,674 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,381 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,715 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,995 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,955 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,782 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,757 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,144 Vol.
92%
35°C or higher
$8,457 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate strong daytime heating under a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning 33°C as the most probable maximum for Tel Aviv on May 17 with a market-implied probability of 45.8 percent. This reflects a shift from recent cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16 toward conditions exceeding the climatological May average of 26–28°C. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze influence through midday are expected to accelerate surface warming, though model consensus shows only modest potential for 34°C or higher at 30.0 and 3.8 percent respectively. Final resolution will depend on official observations at Ben Gurion International Airport later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$57,326Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate strong daytime heating under a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning 33°C as the most probable maximum for Tel Aviv on May 17 with a market-implied probability of 45.8 percent. This reflects a shift from recent cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16 toward conditions exceeding the climatological May average of 26–28°C. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze influence through midday are expected to accelerate surface warming, though model consensus shows only modest potential for 34°C or higher at 30.0 and 3.8 percent respectively. Final resolution will depend on official observations at Ben Gurion International Airport later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,326Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate strong daytime heating under a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning 33°C as the most probable maximum for Tel Aviv on May 17 with a market-implied probability of 45.8 percent. This reflects a shift from recent cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16 toward conditions exceeding the climatological May average of 26–28°C. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze influence through midday are expected to accelerate surface warming, though model consensus shows only modest potential for 34°C or higher at 30.0 and 3.8 percent respectively. Final resolution will depend on official observations at Ben Gurion International Airport later today.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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