Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show strong daytime heating under a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning Tel Aviv for a daily maximum near 33–34 °C and explaining the near-even market-implied odds of 49.5 % and 43.5 % for those exact outcomes. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are accelerating surface warming above the May climatological baseline of 26–28 °C, while afternoon model runs continue to diverge on peak intensity. Real-time observations from Ben Gurion International Airport and final hourly updates will determine whether the temperature settles at 33 °C or edges into 34 °C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 17 maggio?
33°C 41.0%
34°C 29%
35°C or higher 5%
31°C <1%
$51,890 Vol.
$51,890 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
53%
34°C
29%
35°C or higher
5%
33°C 41.0%
34°C 29%
35°C or higher 5%
31°C <1%
$51,890 Vol.
$51,890 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
53%
34°C
29%
35°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show strong daytime heating under a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning Tel Aviv for a daily maximum near 33–34 °C and explaining the near-even market-implied odds of 49.5 % and 43.5 % for those exact outcomes. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are accelerating surface warming above the May climatological baseline of 26–28 °C, while afternoon model runs continue to diverge on peak intensity. Real-time observations from Ben Gurion International Airport and final hourly updates will determine whether the temperature settles at 33 °C or edges into 34 °C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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