Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s maximum temperature at the official Otemachi station near 28 °C on May 17, reflecting a persistent high-pressure ridge that drives southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern has produced tight model consensus across successive operational runs, supporting the market-implied odds of 99.9 % for exactly 28 °C. Historical May climatology for the Kanto Plain shows typical highs of 24–27 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but well-supported warm anomaly. The primary risk to resolution remains an unexpected late-model adjustment or localized measurement variation at the reporting station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 17 maggio?
28°C 99.9%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$87,122 Vol.
$87,122 Vol.
17 mag 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.9%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$87,122 Vol.
$87,122 Vol.
17 mag 2026
20°C or below
$3,024 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,893 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$819 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,290 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,445 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,219 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,821 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10,530 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$19,720 Vol.
100%
29°C
$10,530 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$9,833 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s maximum temperature at the official Otemachi station near 28 °C on May 17, reflecting a persistent high-pressure ridge that drives southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern has produced tight model consensus across successive operational runs, supporting the market-implied odds of 99.9 % for exactly 28 °C. Historical May climatology for the Kanto Plain shows typical highs of 24–27 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but well-supported warm anomaly. The primary risk to resolution remains an unexpected late-model adjustment or localized measurement variation at the reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$87,122Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s maximum temperature at the official Otemachi station near 28 °C on May 17, reflecting a persistent high-pressure ridge that drives southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern has produced tight model consensus across successive operational runs, supporting the market-implied odds of 99.9 % for exactly 28 °C. Historical May climatology for the Kanto Plain shows typical highs of 24–27 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but well-supported warm anomaly. The primary risk to resolution remains an unexpected late-model adjustment or localized measurement variation at the reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$87,122Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s maximum temperature at the official Otemachi station near 28 °C on May 17, reflecting a persistent high-pressure ridge that drives southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern has produced tight model consensus across successive operational runs, supporting the market-implied odds of 99.9 % for exactly 28 °C. Historical May climatology for the Kanto Plain shows typical highs of 24–27 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but well-supported warm anomaly. The primary risk to resolution remains an unexpected late-model adjustment or localized measurement variation at the reporting station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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