Official Environment and Climate Change Canada observations at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, reached exactly 10°C during the afternoon, driving near-unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for this outcome. A persistent cool upper-level trough over southern Ontario suppressed highs under cloudy skies with light rain and drizzle, aligning with pre-event forecasts near 10°C and below the historical April average of 11–12°C. Model consensus from NOAA and Canadian ensembles accurately captured these conditions, reflecting low uncertainty in post-event verification. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions or station-specific measurement discrepancies on Wunderground (the resolution source), though official records provide strong evidentiary support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Toronto on April 25?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 25?
10°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$197,170 Vol.
$197,170 Vol.
25 apr 2026
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$197,170 Vol.
$197,170 Vol.
25 apr 2026
1°C or below
$460 Vol.
No
2°C
$367 Vol.
No
3°C
$1,345 Vol.
No
4°C
$716 Vol.
No
5°C
$2,408 Vol.
No
6°C
$16,299 Vol.
No
7°C
$11,183 Vol.
No
8°C
$22,514 Vol.
No
9°C
$20,177 Vol.
No
10°C
$48,399 Vol.
Yes
11°C or higher
$73,301 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Environment and Climate Change Canada observations at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, reached exactly 10°C during the afternoon, driving near-unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for this outcome. A persistent cool upper-level trough over southern Ontario suppressed highs under cloudy skies with light rain and drizzle, aligning with pre-event forecasts near 10°C and below the historical April average of 11–12°C. Model consensus from NOAA and Canadian ensembles accurately captured these conditions, reflecting low uncertainty in post-event verification. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions or station-specific measurement discrepancies on Wunderground (the resolution source), though official records provide strong evidentiary support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 23, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volume
$197,170Data di fine
25 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 23, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Environment and Climate Change Canada observations at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, reached exactly 10°C during the afternoon, driving near-unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for this outcome. A persistent cool upper-level trough over southern Ontario suppressed highs under cloudy skies with light rain and drizzle, aligning with pre-event forecasts near 10°C and below the historical April average of 11–12°C. Model consensus from NOAA and Canadian ensembles accurately captured these conditions, reflecting low uncertainty in post-event verification. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions or station-specific measurement discrepancies on Wunderground (the resolution source), though official records provide strong evidentiary support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$197,170Data di fine
25 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 23, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Official Environment and Climate Change Canada observations at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, reached exactly 10°C during the afternoon, driving near-unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for this outcome. A persistent cool upper-level trough over southern Ontario suppressed highs under cloudy skies with light rain and drizzle, aligning with pre-event forecasts near 10°C and below the historical April average of 11–12°C. Model consensus from NOAA and Canadian ensembles accurately captured these conditions, reflecting low uncertainty in post-event verification. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions or station-specific measurement discrepancies on Wunderground (the resolution source), though official records provide strong evidentiary support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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