Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
21°C 97.9%
22°C 1.3%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$141,359 Vol.
$141,359 Vol.
16 mag 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
98%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 97.9%
22°C 1.3%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$141,359 Vol.
$141,359 Vol.
16 mag 2026
18°C
$18,715 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$12,059 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$34,501 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10,142 Vol.
98%
22°C
$7,800 Vol.
1%
23°C
$8,000 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,242 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$9,330 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$10,413 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$141,359Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$141,359Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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