Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from Environment Canada and the Global Forecast System show a southwesterly flow advecting warmer air into southern Ontario, positioning Toronto’s official high on May 18 near the 29–32 °C threshold under mostly clear skies that enhance surface heating. Slight differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud timing, and wind speeds among model members create the narrow spread across the closely matched market outcomes at 31 °C, 30 °C, 32 °C or higher, and 29 °C. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model runs and official Environment Canada guidance for any shift in the maximum temperature forecast before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 18 maggio?
30°C 27%
31°C 25%
32°C o superiore 21%
29°C 18%
$14,071 Vol.
$14,071 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
18%
30°C
27%
31°C
25%
32°C o superiore
21%
30°C 27%
31°C 25%
32°C o superiore 21%
29°C 18%
$14,071 Vol.
$14,071 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
18%
30°C
27%
31°C
25%
32°C o superiore
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZRecent numerical weather prediction ensembles from Environment Canada and the Global Forecast System show a southwesterly flow advecting warmer air into southern Ontario, positioning Toronto’s official high on May 18 near the 29–32 °C threshold under mostly clear skies that enhance surface heating. Slight differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud timing, and wind speeds among model members create the narrow spread across the closely matched market outcomes at 31 °C, 30 °C, 32 °C or higher, and 29 °C. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model runs and official Environment Canada guidance for any shift in the maximum temperature forecast before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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