Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 17 maggio?
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$49,048 Vol.
$49,048 Vol.
17 mag 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$49,048 Vol.
$49,048 Vol.
17 mag 2026
5°C or below
$660 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$979 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$683 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,131 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$4,426 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$10,585 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$4,844 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$9,482 Vol.
100%
14°C
$7,972 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$7,853 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$49,048Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,048Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAEnsemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti