Recent forecast guidance from Chinese meteorological services and international models points to a daytime high near 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, supported by moderate southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme heating. Climatological averages for mid-May place typical maxima between 26°C and 29°C, with the current pattern aligning closely to this baseline rather than outlier warm or cool scenarios. Scattered thunderstorm potential later in the day could cap temperatures slightly below some longer-range projections, reinforcing trader focus on the 28°C outcome. Updated model runs expected this evening will refine the exact peak and any adjustments to implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 17 maggio?
28°C 74%
29°C 21%
30°C 5%
27°C 1.0%
$36,758 Vol.
$36,758 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
74%
29°C
21%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 74%
29°C 21%
30°C 5%
27°C 1.0%
$36,758 Vol.
$36,758 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
74%
29°C
21%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent forecast guidance from Chinese meteorological services and international models points to a daytime high near 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, supported by moderate southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme heating. Climatological averages for mid-May place typical maxima between 26°C and 29°C, with the current pattern aligning closely to this baseline rather than outlier warm or cool scenarios. Scattered thunderstorm potential later in the day could cap temperatures slightly below some longer-range projections, reinforcing trader focus on the 28°C outcome. Updated model runs expected this evening will refine the exact peak and any adjustments to implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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